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Clear player development strategy

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By on CQN BLOG & Comments

A metric you and I have followed for many years is the number of games a young player has played before signing for Celtic.  We have a hot spot of between 60 and 80 games.  Before this, there is not enough time to scout and make a decision.  Afterwards, if the player has genuine potential, there are usually clubs from the big leagues competing.

Although 23-years-old, Hayato Inamura can still be considered young, as he only left the Japanese university system last year.  He played 36 games in all competitions for Albirex Nigata before signing for Celtic on Friday.  36 games produces very few data points, the central defender is not going to show on many analysis tools due to the small sample size.

So what can we infer from this?  The great lesson of Moneyball (the book, not the movie), is that if you want to out-perform more resourceful rivals, you need to find a metric they have overlooked, but which helps you.  In plucking a Japanese player with 36 games on his CV, you can be sure we are working to a system.

Brendan Rodgers suggested Hayato may be put out on loan, this will be to give the manager the information he does not yet have on the player.  We can be confident he will have triggered at least one metric and he will have been scouted several times.

No player is the finished article this early in his career, so there is work to do.  But overall, I am happy that unlike last summer, we have a clear player development strategy.  We will find out in due course if it lives up to previous strategies.

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  1. stebhoy on

    I fully expect Celtic to sign at least 2 x experienced proven professionals this window. Anything less is careless and lacking ambition. What’s the point in stacking 100s of millions if we don’t demonstrate advantage over our rivals. Why are we shopping in the same market as them ? Get it done Celtic!

  2. !!Bada Bing!! on

    That’s about 2 years we’ve been linked with Kvistgaarden, I think if he was any good, he would have went from Brondby a while ago….

  3. scullybhoy on

    dessybhoy on 7th July 2025 5:58 pm

     

     

    Thanks Nicolas Kuhn for all your efforts, good luck in the rest of your career, but not against us.

     

     

    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

     

     

    Agree with that.

     

     

    HH

  4. bigrailroadblues on

    Huv we no signed embdy that’s a waste of space/drive to the airport yet?

     

    Happy birthday Jamesie Forrest, the invisible man. Show em yer medals son! 👍

  10. Turkeybhoy on

    WTF is Balikwishha.Winger problem solved?.Sitting waiting by the phone, until Kuhn cash arrives.

     

    FFS.

  14. !!Bada Bing!! on

    Michel-Ange Balikwisha ‘close’ to Celtic transfer

     

     

    according to the rags

  16. Saint Stivs on

    is it really difficult for our support to understand that our transfers in are not done to 1 identkit playbook foisted on the manager by the control hungry executive, and instead it is multi-layered

     

     

    youth “punts” are not solely in the 60-80 gaame mark. they can be more or less, but for sure will be in the “to be developted” tier. and the manager likes this, it is why we have restructed with paul and shaun, the next decision, is development in house or out.

     

     

    squad players the fabled back up – can plug the gaps, and be incontention for the starting eleven, but also can be developted, it is not an age thing, it is a combination of all things.

     

     

    the first eleven mabyess, well we all have opinions but that is the 16 who could be in the first team any given match. bought on record fees, again not an age profiling thing.

     

     

    that caller to clyde actually shouting about us having to spend money and big and quicker, bloody nuggets.going on about kyogo sized hole, whisper it but there was many a game first half last season where i thought he was pish.

     

     

    his 34 goal season is very much an outlier of his career.

     

     

    now a move to the oeaky blinders, wtaf. his head is wasted for some reason.

  18. Saint Stivs on

    Kvistgaarden

     

     

    so Celtic maybe, maybe, just didnt value the boy that highly, and maybe maybe were never really in for him, and maybe it was paper talk all along.

  22. An Dún on

    As I recall, the only time I seen Tilio play for us was when he came on as a sub in the last 15 mins against St Johnstone at Celtic Park.

     

     

    I thought he looked completely off it, physically he was nowhere near fit enough to compete. I’m not sure returning him to the A league was the road to go down to improve his conditioning but we’ll find out soon enough. I suspect he’ll be heading back to Australia after preseason.

     

     

    The danger in going for players with so little data is that chronic fitness issues may not show.

     

     

    Holm is another lad whose body looks unable to play professional football. 20 or so appearances to his name in the last 3 years.

     

     

    I noted Nawrocki’s injuries and lack of availability was one of the reasons BR sent him away.

  23. Burnley78 on

    Nawrocki

     

     

    Was fit for most of last season.

     

     

    The manager chose not to play him only many occasions. He did this because the pole asked for a loan move or a transfer due to lack of game time in January. Thats why Dane Murray (who the manager doesn’t actually rate) had to play at Villa park.

  24. stebhoy on

    They’re signing decent players! Proven in decent leagues, pace in midfield and height /physicality in defence. A strong celtic board will assume they will improve them and contend with us.

     

     

    Are we arrogant or ambitious!!

  25. bournesouprecipe on

    !BADA BING!! on 7TH JULY 2025 9:05 PM

     

     

     

    BSR- That was a real shame for the guy

     

     

    ————-

     

     

    Great player on the tour , but fated never to win a slam because of injury.

  26. Saint Stivs on

    stebhoy on 7th July 2025 9:28 pm

     

    They’re signing decent players! Proven in decent leagues, pace in midfield and height /physicality in defence. A strong celtic board will assume they will improve them and contend with us.

     

     

    Are we arrogant or ambitious!!

     

     

    ——————–

     

     

    this strong plc board will do what they always do, set a 5 year plan for the football team,

     

     

    he haw to do with thems maybe getting bewtter, to paraphrase kevj, they hardly ever sign a player and i know who they are, or indeed wonder why they beat celtic to signing them.

  27. Saint Stivs on

    btw, what is your ambition for celtic this season ?

     

     

    i want us to go further in europe , and get more co-effcient points, and be league champions again,

  30. bournesouprecipe on

    !!BADA BING!! on 7TH JULY 2025 8:38 PM

     

     

    Michel-Ange Balikwisha ‘close’ to Celtic transfer

     

     

    according to the rags

     

     

    ———————————

     

     

    Good to see Brendan covering the wide areas Kuhn away, Balikwisha in.

  31. stebhoy on

    Balikwisha is one paced , injury prone and like to cut inside. It’s a gamble and hardly and improvement on khun imo.

  33. glendalystonsils on

    Interesting that the fee Rapid want for Austrian winger we were linked with should suddenly rise from around £3m to £10m . If true , could it possibly have something to do with them selling us Kuhn for around £3m and watching us rake in around £18m for the same player after just a season and a bit ?

  35. bournesouprecipe on

    Burnley78

     

     

    Perfectly reasonable that BR with all the knowledge and evidence you lack, would prefer Dane Murray as a sub to Maik Nawrocki.

     

     

    Dane Murray was match fit for a start Nawrocki wasn’t, as he hadn’t kicked a ball all season or played a game to get injured in. He lasted a few minutes at Queens Park in a pre season friendly.

     

     

    Of course BR is a bad man and only picks the players he wants.

     

     

    Sheesh 🙄

  36. itscalledthemalvinas on

    Eh ?

     

    Thought Luca Modric was going to Snake Mountain to “play” for the monkey’s ?

  41. TinyTim on

    I watched Tilio in last months Aussie play off final .

     

    He was weak and bullied .

     

    Resulting in him playing very poorly.

     

     

    He was a long way off the standard that Celtic require.

     

    TT

  42. Back to Basics - Glass Half Full on

    So, approximately 93 seconds of amateur research online reveals Kvistgaarden has a £6.9m release clause in his contract.

     

     

    Turns out the ridiculous prices quoted by the MSM that Celtic would have to “cough up” …

     

     

    which went as high as £13.5m if you recall?

     

     

    Were in fact a load of old fanny.

     

     

    Whodathunkit

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