Football must wait for the financial final act

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Interesting financial news from Deloitte that FA Premier League clubs turned a profit in season 2013-14, the first time the combined results of the top 20 clubs in England have been in the black for 15 years.  The reason for the £190m surplus was a 29% increase in revenue, largely as a result of the-then new TV deal, which runs until summer 2016.  Wages rose only 20% that year.

Clubs will be happy to have stemmed the losses, although the first year of a new TV deal is always their high water mark, but the underlying bubble remains a problem.  Income cannot continue to rise at heady double-digit rates, shareholders of BskyB and BT will eventually see to that, despite the fact that next big boost from TV is already confirmed for season 2016-17.

The play to watch is not if or when a dysfunctional football sector gets its act in order, it’s when an almost-as dysfunctional broadcasting industry reaches equilibrium.  We’ve discussed before Sky’s absolute need for Premier League rights to secure their place as a prime broadcaster.  BT, Virgin, Netflix and others are busy eating into their movie, news and entertainment broadcast market.  It’s this need which is driving revenue towards the English Premier League.  Without English Premier League football, Sky are vulnerable.

Sky took the first step towards passing the financial pain of their new deal down the line to consumers this month in the form of a price increase.  The company have successfully done this before, many low income families are now paying £70 per month for satellite TV, and subscriber losses after previous increases have been almost non-existent.

Millions of people have high stakes skin in this game: subscribers, Sky and BT executives, their respective shareholders, Premier League clubs and the dependent ecosystem below them.  All the spinning plates have remained in the air, despite price increases through a recession, but one fundamental remains:

This is a bubble.

Speculators are confused when they only see a market inflate over a long period that it’s not a bubble.  The moment these TV deals become unaffordable to subscribers, or more likely, to the broadcasters, the bubble will burst.

Debts are high, profitability is here, but the underlying commercial pressures to stay in the league remain, so wage pressure will continue to eat away at available funds.  Those outside of the bonanza have to figure out how to compete for audience and players, while waiting on the final act.

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  1. mike in toronto on

    coneybhoy

     

     

    interesting, thanks. you clearly know a lot more about this than I do.

  2. blantyretim is praying for the Knox family on

    Mike

     

    Ha, reminds me of going to Filey in 1977 as a kid and meeting an English girl who said Scotland? Do you have TV in Scotland?

     

    TV said I, we invented the thing ya eejit. 8))

  3. blantyretim is praying for the Knox family on

    bgx

     

    I cannae be bothered I’m afraid

     

    Diving cheating pre madonnas ?

     

    Does nothing for me, I’m watching pawn stars, not as bad as it first sounds….;)

  4. ExSlaemuirBhoy on

    bournesouprecipe

     

     

     

     

    20:13 on

     

     

    26 March, 2015

     

     

     

     

    Didn’t even know Richard the III had died?

     

     

     

    Maybe we will all get the day off work for the funeral

  5. Colour Blind Bhoy on

    bgx

     

     

    19:37 on 26 March, 2015

     

    Saw Ian Cathro on stv…..That guy Will be a Proper manager…100% ..No doubt…#Sawitherefirst….

     

     

    It just goes to show it’s all about opinions, I saw the clip and didn’t take to him at all, he will probably take Real Madrid to Champion’s League glory now that I’ve said that :-)

  6. Blantyretim…aint missing much mate…games really poor so far..

     

    enjoy your po/ sorry pawn stars…my fav is Diamond Jackson….but im a bad man..

  7. blantyretim is praying for the Knox family on

    box

     

    It’s American pickers at the mo

     

    Life in the fast lane in ole G72

  8. blantyretim is praying for the Knox family on

    Árd Macha

     

    Went to sky news and bcc news24

     

    Nothing on

  9. mike in toronto on

    looks like a gas explosion demolished a building in east manhattan … looks similar to the one in harlem a year ago.

  10. ExSlaemuirBhoy on

    Just been looking at the polls for the GE in May, tories have nae chance so we must be due a wee war with some poor unsuspecting nation. Usually does the trick

  11. Mon The Hoops! on

    bournesouprecipe FYI

     

     

    Bosworth Field euph. A messy battle fought on the toilet the morning after a heavy night on the ale and curry.

     

    After a protracted period of unpleasantness, it ends with the death of Richard the Third by drowning.

     

     

    Courtesy of Roger Mellie’s Profanisaurus

  12. BGX, I thought you were joking but just to be sure, I googled Diamond Jackson, you weren’t joking.

  13. See a lot of football fans down south.complaing about the prices of watching football,they are saying that it should be about 20 pounds to watch a match, to true,We the fans could make this happen.for all the billions that get pumped into football,one thing for sure is the fans are getting a raw deal.apart from the clubs,the ones that gaing out of this is them middle class shareholders,as for Joe Bloggs who i might add probaly spend more money on season tickets, which go up every season,along with merchindise ,catering etc while these prawn sandwich mob get the best seats in the house,there catering facilities.are much better, no time for big changes,for the ordinary fans, no for some who have money to be given the 5 star treatment, maybe thats how at our club there isnt one ordinary fan on the Board,bunch of selfish b——-s the lot of them.

  14. blantyretim is praying for the Knox family on

    Why was he buried in a Coe church?

     

    Did they steal that one from us too?

  15. A lot of conjecture on hear about this terrible aviation disaster which is understandable. Horrendous experience for everyone involved especially the loved ones left behind.

     

     

    One set of parents will have the added burden of a son being implicated as being responsible for the deaths of all on board. As I said earlier I will be praying for all the victims and the families.

     

     

    It is still to early to say for definite what the cause has been, but it would appear from the information available that the evidence is mounting.

     

     

    I have no knowledge of the co pilot or his family but I cannot begin to imagine the horrors that they will be going through. Regardless of the outcome of the investigation they deserve our sympathy as much as anyone at this time.

  16. Captain Beefheart on

    Exslae,

     

     

    Daft post. Labour would never take us into a war, would they? I look forward to Scotland humping corrupt Scottish Labour.

  17. bournesouprecipe on

    Mon The Hoops

     

     

    Imagine it wasn’t really him, and it was just a wee dude handyman?

     

     

    SomeSendOff CSC

  18. timbhoy2 …………….. 20:35 on 26 March, 2015

     

     

    Agreed…………… I think!

     

     

    TBM

  19. blantyretim is praying for the Knox family on

    timbhoy2

     

    English clubs promise to pay living wage

     

    With all the money they are making it’s about blinkin time

  20. TGCW

     

     

    Wasn’t it you who, when returning my DVD of 300, asked me did I have the sequel?!

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