Omission bias research and refs with grudges

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The SFA Head of Refereeing, John Fleming, spoke about the semi-final incident on Sunday, largely to protect his fraternity.  Referee Steven McLean made a huge error but Fleming said “I don’t think there was anyone in the ground who would have thought it was 100% a penalty and sending off until they had seen the replay.”

This flies in the face of the Celtic players who claimed for a penalty on the spot, the raised voices from thousands of Celtic supporters, and the shout from the TV commentator.  Fleming’s assertion is demonstrably untrue.

He is a man in a position of authority at the SFA.  He is allowed to have opinions, or to disagree with any club, but making untrue statements to protect his referees is a wholly inappropriate.  If is the standard referees are held to, no wonder we have problems.  Having asked for clarification on the refereeing error yesterday, I expect Celtic will be even keener on an explanation for Fleming’s incredulous comment.

I’ve linked here to a Stanford University report on Omission Bias in Sports.  The report finds that people are biased to favour inaction (i.e. don’t make a decision) over action (make a decision which will have a profound impact).

It’s an interesting concept which good refereeing guidance will account for.  They found that “For all sports, effect [is]stronger if game is close and weak when score is lopsided”.

Omission bias is what we should be looking for in Scottish football.  Evidence this video of former referee Kenny Clark, who while still officiating SPL games told an audience that he held a grudge against Celtic’s John Hartson and failed to award him a foul which he saw clearly enough to describe in some detail.

Unfortunately, no journalist has ever been able to contact Mr Clark to ask him about his grudges or omission bias.  If this was England, the media would not allow Clark to flaunt omission bias while defending it in others, he would be called to account.

See above, Sunday’s officials greeting each other on the pitch before kick off.  Before the dust settles on this one, some of us better learn a new handshake.  Those wanting real change at the SFA will have to fight for it.

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  1. thomthethim for Oscar OK

     

     

     

     

    15:14 on

     

     

    21 April, 2015

     

     

     

     

    Thetimreaper,

     

     

    “Kettle” Callaghan, in the 60s only spoke to John Hughes after previously booking him. He didn’t send him off and in the ensuing witch hunt, he was dropped from the list.

     

     

    *a witch hunt orchestrated by waddell.

  2. Geordie Munro on

    Bada & lb,

     

     

    The Berget one is a queer one. He’s only a couply months into a 3 year deal and has played well for his new club ‘preseason’ and in the league proper.

     

     

    Canny see hertz forking out dosh for him.

     

     

    HH

  3. GlassTwoThirdsFull on

    “Excuse me sir – you’re not allowed to smoke in here. Didn’t you see the sign?”

     

    “No – I couldn’t see it for Leigh Griffiths.”

  4. BOBBY MURDOCH’S CURLED-UP WINKLEPICKERS

     

     

     

     

    14:14 on

     

     

    21 April, 2015

     

     

     

     

    THETIMREAPER

     

     

    Collum taught Religious Education at a Catholic secondary in Lanarkshire. Don’t think he bothers now,the money is better as a referee,and he was worried about people shiting in his piece-box.

     

     

     

    *or mibbees this is the real reason

     

     

    “The Church has imposed the penalty of excommunication on Catholics who become Freemasons. The penalty of excommunication for joining the Masonic Lodge was explicit in the 1917 code of canon law (canon 2335), and it is implicit in the 1983 code (canon 1374).”

  5. And in other news…. Bada Bings soars to the top of the class in journalism school…..

     

     

    ;-)

     

     

    HH jamesgang

  6. Geordie Munro

     

     

     

     

    15:40 on

     

     

    21 April, 2015

     

     

     

     

    Bada & lb,

     

     

    The Berget one is a queer one. He’s only a couply months into a 3 year deal and has played well for his new club ‘preseason’ and in the league proper.

     

     

    Canny see hertz forking out dosh for him.

     

     

    HH

     

    ————————————————–

     

     

    Also, will Malmo not be in the Champions League qualifiers?

     

    We’ll probably draw them in the qualifiers if we win this ruddy league!

  7. Gerryfaethebrig on

    bobby murdoch’s curled-up winklepickers

     

     

    14:14 on 21 April, 2015

     

    Collum taught RE at St Ambrose in Coatbridge, long after I left but my young niece said a few years ago “why is Mr Collum on the telly, he doesn’t even like football” or words to that effect, I just replied I don’t think he has ever liked football

  8. Lennon n Mc....Mjallby on

    It should make me mad but it actually just makes me laugh how hunnery needs to cheat Celtic in such an organised way.

     

     

    They have an absolute cheek to think that their old club was the most successful in Scotland,it’s absolutely laughable.

     

     

    I’d love to hear the private thoughts on the Scottish game of high profile football men in England like Gary Lineker and Mark Lawrenson who have spent a lot of time working with the likes of Martin O’Neill and Gordon Strachan,the goings on in Scotland make a mockery of the game.

  9. Dontbrattbakkinanger on

    SofTunis- I have subjected wee Daisy to my 35+ years of clinical experience and am happy to report she is free of scrofula.

     

     

    …praise the Lord

  10. theglasgowcelticway on

    I said about this time yesterday that Celtic were in an awkward place and that the media would bring out former players to say it wasn’t deliberate and “it happens.” Yesterday’s STV news had Paul Hartley and Allan Stubbs today, John Hartson’s on the radio telling Celtic to get over it and move on,fair play to Chris Sutton who didn’t miss them on Peter and Roughie’s last night.

     

    This will be brushed under the carpet.Today’s DR columnists believe the officials will be sent to lower leagues for a while until it blows over and then return.I think it’s up to the Celtic fans to keep this in the public domain.How do we do this? is open to suggestions.I still think marking the 44th minute of each game from now on with some sort of song/chant against the bias of officials is a start.Will that change anything?I think not but it will make everyone realise that our fans have had enough and inaction is a thing of the past.

  11. bournesouprecipe on

    Jamesgang

     

     

    Oooffftt……..The Battered Bunnet knew Berget was a dud before the bobble on his pony tail had snapped shut.

     

     

    Whereas ole EuroChamps67 was waxing lyrical

  12. glendalystonsils on

    Is that a total eclipse of the sun………….?

     

     

    Naw, that’s Leigh Griffiths.

  13. theglasgowcelticway

     

     

    Whistles & kkk hoods on the 44th minute?

     

     

    That would have focus going into overdrive.

     

     

    What’s the charge officer?

     

    Copyright and theft of Intellectual Property Rights – these symbols below to us……and impersonating a referee!

     

     

    HH jamesgang

  14. glendalystonsils on

    I thought the Berlin wall had been pulled down…..?

     

     

    It hiz, that’s Leigh Griffiths.

  15. GlassTwoThirdsFull on

    “Allo allo allo. Do you realise you were doing 40 miles an hour in a 30 zone?”

     

    “I’m sorry, officer. I didn’t see the sign. It must have been hidden by Leigh Griffiths.”

  16. glendalystonsils on

    I thought Table Mountain wiz in South Africa….?

     

     

    It is. That’s Leigh Griffiths.

  17. glendalystonsils on

    Scientist now believe rising sea levels are not due to global warming.

     

     

    Apparently Leigh Griffiths has been paddling at Millport.

  18. bournesouprecipe

     

     

    Berget did more than most of the other loanees this season put together. Hope the news he is bound for Tynecastle is false. Reckon he would come back to haunt us.

     

     

    LB

  19. GlassTwoThirdsFull on

    “Excuse me. Could you give me directions to the Empire State Building?”

     

    “It’s right there in front of you. Didn’t you see it?”

     

    “Afraid not. I think it must have been obscured by Leigh Griffiths.”

  20. Timjim

     

     

    My doctor IS Leigh Griffiths!

     

     

    Livibhoy

     

     

    You sound like you’re going all Scooby doo on us mhate!

     

     

    HH jamesgang

  21. glendalystonsils on

    Scientists now believe that dinosaurs were not wiped out by a giant meteorite but by Leigh Griffiths falling on his erchie.

  22. Dontbrattbakkinanger on

    Conspiracy theorists and FBI investigators are excitedly poring over previously unseen new footage, which appears to confirm the real identity of the assassin of J.F.Kennedy in Dallas.

     

     

    …if only that pesky Leigh Griffiths would move his fat arse.,

  23. GlassTwoThirdsFull on

    Tell you what. Next time we have a free kick against us we’ll be fine. One man wall – Leigh Griffiths.

  24. Stephen Hawking’s new paper in the Scientific Journal will apparently be devoted to the pan-dimenional bodymass of Leigh Griffiths and its ability to appear in multiple locations simultaneously.

     

     

    Titled: ‘The Tunnocks Thumb Hypothesis’

  25. Thomthethim and Ard Macha,

     

     

    Sorry I had signed off by the time you two answered my question.

     

     

    Thanks very to you both.

     

     

    Yogi

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