Recency bias is powerful. We remember and place more emphasis on things which happened most recently compared to things which happened before that. The time period between the recent event and what went before is not important.
Play poorly for 75 minutes and end the game with a strong 15 minutes and, if you have poor perspective, your mind will put more weight on the closing 15 minutes. Newco fans and their manager clearly suffer from poor perspective with respect to recency bias.
Repeatedly against Celtic this season they performed poorly for the majority of the game, but post-match found comfort that their best period came late on. This happened again after the Scottish Cup Final, despite losing to a 90th minute winner. Let them swim in irrelevant consolation all summer.
I am a bit concerned about our own recency bias. Reo Hatate had a poor final. Everyone around me at Hampden was asking the same question, ‘When will he replace Reo?’. The only surprise was it took until the 78th minute until Paulo Bernardo came on and transformed the outcome.
The recency bias part of your brain will be telling you: Reo – poor, Paulo – good. The memory of where we were when Reo was injured and the midfield was so dysfunctional is well buried by soothing recency.
I don’t know what was wrong with Reo on Saturday, or even his last time out against Newco, when he also underperformed, but when he returned to fitness he transform Celtic and was crucial in our run to the title. Don’t let a touch of recency bias fool you into thinking otherwise.
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The Rangers are coming… 🥱😴😴😴
Modern recency bias is rubbish 👍
Performance pretty poor but got the result.
Perfect example of big team v wee team game. Wee team make it a niggly arm-wrestle and big team gets dragged down to their level.
Lacked the pace, movement and wide overloads that have served us so well in recent weeks and way too many misplaced passes.
Thankfully we got that piece of quality from Bernardo when we needed it. And a great bit of finishing from the off-piste signing.
As for Cameron (should that be Calmeron?) Carter Vickers – what can you say…..
God created Adam and sent him to Paradise to help slay the Hun. Adam followed his orders twofold in League and Cup bringing much joy to his many followers.
Congrats to Brendan, his Celtic squad and backroom team on the great double triumph……………But sure we’re doing that anyway.
Good afternoon all from the Queens Park Cafe.
Top 10!
But sure we’re ALWAYS doing that anyway. Left out vital word ALWAYS
I haven’t watched the full replay nor will I, life is too short to watch that back, minute for minute. A poor game but any football that was played, was played by Celtic.
Sevco played that game the way St Mirren or Ross County would have played. They kept their back 4 in place with holding mids in front and their wide men in Silva and Sterling getting back and tucking in.
The result was that we were stifled in a match that we largely controlled. Not one of our attackers had a good game imo – space and time was at a premium.
Because the Huns are so reliant on their full backs getting forward to create, when those full backs don’t get forward, the Huns have next to nothing to offer going into attack.
They played like a St Mirren. Defended for their lives and literally offered nothing outside of set pieces.
We deserved to win. It’s genuinely difficult to differentiate Sevco from the other opponents we come up against in the SPFL. They defend better but everything else is almost identical. Aberdeen gave us a much tougher match and at least tried to play football. The Huns are a stinking bad side.
Recency Bias?
We’re still suffering from Regency Bias and Reformation Bias in this country
Fair play to Walsh for playing advantage for our goal. I’ve no doubt other refs would have nipped that attack in the bud by blowing up for the foul on Bernardo.
A Dun, fair play also to Bernardo. A lot of players would just have accepted the free kick. I really think the lad has something to offer us, recency bias or not.
FIELDOFDRAMS
Hear, hear. A great piece of play from Bernardo.
While I’m posting again, I’ll mention Hart. He used every bit of his experience in demanding the ball after their goal and not allowing it to be placed on the centre spot. His protests would have given the VAR pause for thought.
Bernardo and Adam will forever have a place in Celtic’s history.
https://x.com/i/status/1795028291180453969
Who would win a fight between recency bias and primacy bias?
I’ve recently become past caring.
Gene & Celtic Mac
I think the big ugly Belgian has shown an ability to shore up a faltering Beale side. He did some good things in making them more direct- what their fans are now calling a Hit & Hope long ball strategy. When you have misfiring forwards like Dessers & Lammers, you need to give them plenty of chances cos you know they’ll miss a lot of them.
He showed some astuteness in calling out Tik Tok Barbie- who is easily their best footballer (Silva showed nothing in most matches) but is a manager’s nightmare with his positional discipline and lack of team play. He made himself a bad tempered ref-influencing gruff boss. When that is done well, you have Alex Ferguson but when it’s done badly you have Jim Jeffries or Craig Levein. Phil lies somewhere in the middle. The truth is he fell apart in the run up and being under pressure. I’ll be happy if they sack him because I don’t think they’ll get a lot better. Would McInnes want to even come?
Sevco’ biggest weakness this year and since we dominated them has been recruitment. We see that, even as champions, we find it difficult to attract players who, even fans think must be desperate to come. Riley McGree preferred Middlesboro and Sydney Van Hooydonk chose Norwich but Sevco have double this problem. To get decent-ish players like Danilo, they take huge risks on an injury prone and injury riddled high earner who has barely played, or they buy decent defensive midfielders like Cifuentes and Dijon Sterling but end up playing them as right wingers or left backs because of injuries elsewhere in the squad. They will lament their injury record this season as causing them to drop out of league contention but the truth is they were forced to buy these exact players with injury risks as they were the best of what was willing to come. They bought the injury risk and they don’t like having to swallow that.
Flip Flop got frustrated by the squad he inherited. Maybe, he will do a better job of recruiting himself this summer but maybe he’ll be hampered by having to pay for last summer’s recruitments as they will have to have distress sales on the perma-injured parts of the squad, the unconvincing strikers part of the squad, and the serial losers part of the squad (Tav, Goldson, Barisic, Jack, Lundstram etc;) who may want out of this nightmare. And like Banjo Boy & Morelos before them- they’ll leave for nothing or a pittance to add to his transfer funds. Name a sellable asset of theirs worth as much as £5m. The only one may be Slima and they don’t own him. Late season Butland will not be joining Gareth Southgate’s squad anytime in a parallel universe but someone might offer 2 to 3 mill if they are nostalgic for his form of 5 years ago.
If Philip is as good as he thinks he is, he’ll be wise enough to read the runes and get the hell out of Dodge for the sake of his own reputation.
AN DÚN…If big Joe hadn’t done what he did that goal would probably have stood, so well done to him.
TOM CAMPBELL’S reply to comments from last blog….
Thanks for this, Ronnie. By the way, could you drop a wee note to the man who thought Cyril Horne was Jewish. He was Presbyterian and an Elder in his local church. A great wee man, and utterly fearless. By the way, he proofread my first book for me, told me (to my wife’s astonishment) that it was the best book he had ever read about Scottish football.. Now that I m somewhat retired I wouldn’t mind communicating with those guys if you have their email addresses.
——————–
If any of you want to converse further with Tom, ask Paul to send your email addresses to me, and I’ll pass them on to Tom.
Ronnie
!!BADA BING!! on 27TH MAY 2024 11:26 AM
https://x.com/EFFanning/status/1794824209329426465?s=08
Brilliant
…………
Feckin HEID BANGER !
Whit a Hun CHUMP.
LOL
HH.
Paul 67 et al,
It is amazing how many of us gauge ourselves against ” Rangers”.
Totally understandable as they are our main competetors in Scotland. To continually better them gives the vast majority of us much joy.
We dont care what the animals ( and referees and VAR ) say.
We wont let any of them f@ck with our happiness. We celebrate our victories and if its against the huns, thats icing on the cake.
However BR is ambitious. Supporters are ambitious.
Our clubs aspiration must be in Europe.
Enjoy our success, but plan for the future. Now is the time for serious planning and for tje board to demonstrate that they share the same ambition.
HH, the journey continues.
Re Reo: I wasnt at the game so I was only watching TV and couldnt see whats going on further up the pitch but it looked to me that they had learned from the last game at CP. Man to man on Reo and Matt, making sure they weren’t picking up the ball in space and able to get their heads up and pick a pass or get a shot away. As it turned out the goal came from Bernardo breaking the lines by carrying the ball and finding enough space to get a measured shot.
As far as recency bias goes the game did remind me a bit of some of the poor performances from earlier in the season but which we havent seen recently, and have been forgotten. Its a bit worrying how simple it seems to be to stop us tactically and how the game can change in the second half when it becomes clear things arent working. Worse teams than the Huns gain in confidence and start getting some control of the game. A better team than the huns would have scored with all the pressure and possession in decent areas. I think they were concentrating so hard on stopping us it blunted their attacking options but against better, fitter players we would have been in trouble.
Ultimately what won us the league and cup this season was being better in the head to heads but we only beat them by a single goal and none of the wins and the draw were comfortable. There wasnt a huge amount between the teams. We struggled badly against teams down the league who stopped us playing quite easily, a better Sevco team, which they will probably be next season, employing similar tactics would be a concern.
I dont doubt Brendan has a plan. Idah can offer us something different but we cant consistently find ourselves in the situation where we’re relying on our subs to change the pattern of the game. Better quality in wide areas would help, but we need to be mindful of how easy it is to stop the better players in this Celtic team from playing, especially when we’ll most likely lose the best one in the Summer and Reo can be a bit streaky and has looked a bit injury prone.
Power and pace might be a solution, but its the opposite from what has brought us such huge success domestically and would mean a change in philosophy. And it wont cut it in Europe where technical ability and keeping the ball is everything. I’d suggest we need a ball carrier like Bernardo to come through – he looks a better ball carrier than anyone in midfield than Calmac when he gets the bit between his teeth. I though Holm might be a decent option – he also carries the ball well – but Brendan doesnt seem to fancy him at all.
While I enjoy the league and cup wins as much as anyone I think its unwise to keep relying on our mentality to carry us through. Unlike this time last year I think they have a good manager who might just be getting to grips with the Scottish game, us and the group of losers, crocks and journeymen he has at his disposal.
Maybe it’s frustration that he’s not been playing to his usual high standards, but Reo’s looked in a bit of a huff over the past few weeks.
I believe Brendan Rodgers has said he “has to learn to look after the ball”.
It would not come as a complete surprise if both Reo and Kyogo are not here next season.
GREENPINATA on 27TH MAY 2024 12:59 PM
“Our clubs aspiration must be in Europe.
Enjoy our success, but plan for the future. Now is the time for serious planning and for tje board to demonstrate that they share the same ambition.”
That means more time and money being invested in development players. Thats real ambition and planning for the future, not just one season at a time
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https://www.celticfc.com/news/2024/may/27/Match-Gallery-Scottish-Cup-Final/
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I’m not a body language expert but….judging by his demeanour after the game and during the celebrations I expect Blankety Blankface to be gone during the summer.
Can someone please fill in the Blanks so I can drive them to the airport.
SCULLYBHOY on 27TH MAY 2024 12:42 PM
https://x.com/i/status/1795028291180453969
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Great view of it Scullybhoy, thanks for posting. If you look at the players, most run towards the goal scorer but CCV just lies down!!
A big thank you to Paul67 for all his efforts this season. There must have been moments when it wasnt easy for him, but he’s still been here every day with his usual intelligent, well-informed and heartfelt articles, and a home for all our nonsense.
Arsenal’s prices which have gone up by 10.3 per cent compared to last season. The Gunners are now charging £1,073 for their cheapest adult tickets next season
Wild….
CELTIC40ME on 27TH MAY 2024 1:16 PM
A big thank you to Paul67 for all his efforts this season. There must have been moments when it wasnt easy for him, but he’s still been here every day with his usual intelligent, well-informed and heartfelt articles, and a home for all our nonsense.
——-
Indeed.
HH.
CELTIC40ME on 27TH MAY 2024 1:16 PM
A big thank you to Paul67 for all his efforts this season. There must have been moments when it wasnt easy for him, but he’s still been here every day with his usual intelligent, well-informed and heartfelt articles, and a home for all our nonsense.
I second that emotion. TXT
Diomande targeted Reo at Celtic Park league game and his elbow assault was a straight red card (not even reviewed).
At the cup final Diomande left 3 late ones on Reo. He is seen as Celtics most creative player hence he has been singled out. Similar to the CP game a series of late fouls by a coward was not punished at the cup final. Indeed he should have been sent off for the waist high kick at Maeda.
Of course Calmac has been singled out too but is more wily and experienced than Reo, although he was also afforded zero protection. In both games a Celtic player has been booked for their first innocuous tackle.
On the ref/VAR:
Celtic had 2 stonewall penalties denied by Beaton on VAR —- not even for review.
Diomande should have been shown a red card if Beaton had asked Walsh to have a look at it. Why did he take the decision?
Push in the back had to be given as blatant and Joe Hart gave Beaton zero wiggle room.
As long as John Beaton is a referee or VAR the integrity of the SPFL or Cups is compromised. He needs to be removed as there is enough evidence now for all clubs bar one to ask for his removal. The catalogue of inconsistencies is systemic cheating by John Beaton.
Crawford Allan is pursuing other interests now it’s time to remove John Beaton before the new season starts.
MCPHAIL BHOY on 27TH MAY 2024 1:15 PM
SCULLYBHOY on 27TH MAY 2024 12:42 PM
https://x.com/i/status/1795028291180453969
………..
The sheer eruption of Joy from the Celtic support from the moment Butland palms the Ball out to ADAM IDAH who slams it into the Huns net is just SPINE CHILLING !
The Green and White eruption in the Stands is just SUPERB !
Makes my hair on my arms and neck stand up EVERY Time I watch it.
OH My Days.
HH.
WITS
I’m not a body language expert but….judging by his demeanour after the game and during the celebrations I expect Blankety Blankface to be gone during the summer.
Can someone please fill in the Blanks so I can drive them to the airport.
_____
It’s Joe Hart… I think he’s for the off… it’s obvious he’s fed up always being picked as a goalie… took his keepers gloves off at ghe end… obviously in a bad mood.