Recency bias is powerful. We remember and place more emphasis on things which happened most recently compared to things which happened before that. The time period between the recent event and what went before is not important.
Play poorly for 75 minutes and end the game with a strong 15 minutes and, if you have poor perspective, your mind will put more weight on the closing 15 minutes. Newco fans and their manager clearly suffer from poor perspective with respect to recency bias.
Repeatedly against Celtic this season they performed poorly for the majority of the game, but post-match found comfort that their best period came late on. This happened again after the Scottish Cup Final, despite losing to a 90th minute winner. Let them swim in irrelevant consolation all summer.
I am a bit concerned about our own recency bias. Reo Hatate had a poor final. Everyone around me at Hampden was asking the same question, ‘When will he replace Reo?’. The only surprise was it took until the 78th minute until Paulo Bernardo came on and transformed the outcome.
The recency bias part of your brain will be telling you: Reo – poor, Paulo – good. The memory of where we were when Reo was injured and the midfield was so dysfunctional is well buried by soothing recency.
I don’t know what was wrong with Reo on Saturday, or even his last time out against Newco, when he also underperformed, but when he returned to fitness he transform Celtic and was crucial in our run to the title. Don’t let a touch of recency bias fool you into thinking otherwise.
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new article posted.