I read Michael Lewis’ Moneyball 13 years ago. It was an exploration of key metrics missed by most of baseball and exploited by the then Oakland Athletics general manager, Billy Beane. The lesson from the book was that while each sport has a standard set of metrics the vast majority of coaches and execs follow, if you want to over-achieve against richer opponents, you need to find different, better, metrics.
Adopt the same operational rules as everyone else and over any period, you will punch your weight, not more and no less. Oakland (the A’s) understood this and chose a path less worn. They sold their most saleable assets and bought better players from the unfashionable counter. Some with awkward gaits, overweight or for various reasons just didn’t look right to the rest of elite baseball.
If Billy Beane was working in football today he would sign Leigh Girffiths in a heartbeat. Read his recent rap sheet, he is the most Moneyball player on the planet. The new manager is likely to take a look at the headlines and shrug, which is a pity.
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I’ve got a bad feeling that Clarke will be our next manager – can’t announce anything until after the Euros. Fits with the current silence.
We have no idea what a new manager would make of Griff and I’d hope there’d be some sort of clean slate….
…unless the new manager is John Kennedy or Steve Clarke. 🤔
Even in a season where three out of four of our strikers were AWOL & Eddy contrived to miss three sitters every game, we are not so very far behind the champions elect in goals scored – goals against are almost two & a half times more that “they” have conceded.
Clarke would sort that out. He would also bring in cheaper ‘journeymen’ players, as he did with success at Kilmarnock.
“We are not Kilmarnock” the shouts go up – no we’re not – but we may not have the ‘kitty’ at the moment to attract an Eddie Howe, or, any other manager used to a substantial player budget.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=EqwXdBJizgY
SFTB – Not sure you can apply this kind of Schroedinger’s cat logic to a scenario where there’s available evidence of the existence of one particular state or outcome over the others, which is what I believe Jamesgang suggested. The cat, I’m afraid, is most certainly dead 😉
And the issue with the logic that Neil may have suffered the post BR regret is that he also actually wasn’t very good, which brings a regret all of its own. It’s difficult to dismiss posters’ criticisms of Neil as the outputs of a random comments generator; where some are right, some are wrong, but all are random. A true and diligent observer would be able to tune out the random noise and see the more reasoned concerns of the fans which gained gradual volume during Neil’s term. This, I venture, is what our board failed to do.
jhb
.
no answer to type?
no answer to kind?
neil done 9iar after completing 8
i think the orangemen you bed with are filling your head with tosh
carry on advising people to vote tory.
its why galloway is an embarassment to the working class.
Who would win in a fight between Albert Einstein and Erwin Schrödinger.
CQN CSC
Good luck to Patryk Klimala another splendid bit of Celtic business if the fee is accurate.
AN TEARMANN on 22ND APRIL 2021 3:20 PM
JHB
can you define exactly what you mean by
our kind?
####
I think he means those living in Scotland of Irish Catholic lineage.
Same kind of thing this guy, who was one of the founding members of the SNP, was talking about.
“Wheresoever knives and razors are used, wheresoever sneak thefts and petty pilfering are easy and safe, wheresoever dirty acts of sexual baseness are committed, there you will find the Irishman in Scotland with all but a monopoly.”
Celtic 40- we owe other clubs nothing, if we had to pay a yearly tax to the league, so be it, paying 700 quid a year to watch Ross County play 11 behind the ball has had it’s day hopefully. HH
ernie lynch on 22nd April 2021 4:24 pm
Now you are rising to defend sectarian bigots, an all time low Ernie.
Naebody fancy Mourinho as D.O.F and Lampard as coach.😉
AN TEARMANN
Just a pity he hasn’t been.
HH
Les McKeown RIP Bye Bye Baby
SonsofErin
Not sure I am making use of Schrodinger’s cat logic.
It’s much more simple than that.
I see the claim to have successfully predicted that Neil Lennon would be no good as post-fact justification. He lost ius the 10 so he was obviously the wrong man.
There are 2 problems with that
1) When he was appointed as interim manager- he was good for us and won us 9iar and completed two thirds of a treble. If the successful predictors were right – why were they right only in 2020/21 season but patently wrong re 2019/20 season?
2) How many of the people predicting our inevitable doom earlier this season had also predicted our doom in, at least, half of our previous 9 successful league campaigns? That fits with my Grand National claim.
I am admitting that the people who called it early this season proved to be right and those who, like me, felt we could turn a bad start around, as we had done numerous times before, were definitely wrong this time.
And yet, I can claim to be just as prescient as the doomsayers because I had covered my back with the prediction that,inevitably, one day we will lose this league- don’t know when but it will definitely happen. Therefore, though I specifically got nmy readings wrong in October and November, by the 2nd of January, when I felt it was insurmountable, I too got it right.
If the heuristics you use are that a bad start to a league campaign puts a league title in severe jeopardy then you will always call it early because the characteristics of a failed league campaign will always include one of hte following 3 components- a bad start, a bad middle or a bad end. We have won leagues after a bad start and lost them after good starts; there was nothing inevitable about how it played out.
As we await the club’s review into how and where it went wrong, (if we ever get it), I can speculate how this league was won and lost.
Yes, we had a bad start with lots of draws and more defeats than most previous years, but, when people were calling for NFL’s sacking in October and Novemebr, the league deficit was retrievable (and it was just a Schrodinger’s cat guess as to whether it was retrievable with the same manager, an interim one, or a bling appointment). But by January- those early callers were proven right in the same way I was proven right in calling the National winner on my 10th try.
Our bad start, followed by a mediocre middle and a middling finale, definitely contributed to this lost league but the single most telling stat on how this league was won remains the results achieved by Sevco. They have not lost a league match and are on course for 100 points and an Invincible league season still with 3 games to go. Even if we had not had such a bad start, we may not have emulated their tally. Certainly, our bad start took the pressure off them but I have to acknowledge their remarkable consistency in this campaign, despite my poor opinion of them.
It is time on CQN to acknowedge that the guys who contributed to Sevco’s success this season need to be acknowkedged as guys who beat us.
I have no hesitation in writing their names down individually.
They were…………………….
Beaton
Madden
Collum
Clancy
Robertson
Walsh
Mclean
Muir
Dallas
Aitken
Munro
Anderson
Subs
Steven
Duncan
Napier
Kirkland
Irvine
A fine collection of staunch names with a few Uncle Tims thrown in
Well………. you didn’t expect me to list their players did you? 😀🥲😇
JHB on 22nd April 2021 3:13 pm
KIND:
a group of people having similar interests, beliefs & characteristics.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
cult noun (POPULARITY)
[ S ]
someone or something that has become very popular with a particular group of people:
the cult of celebrity
HH
Thanks in advance to anybody that can explain ole Schrodinger’s cat logic
GREENPINATA on 22ND APRIL 2021 3:11 PM
Thanks for that.
So no reprieve for the covid 5 – but job done
BOURNESOUPRECIPE on 22ND APRIL 2021 5:11 PM
Anything isn`t until it is .
Put it on a T-shirt.
So Sevco, almoat a whole season without conceding a penalty then two in two games. Hmm…
SFTB
Thanks for your reply to me and others. Always appreciated.
I was one of those you cite that did think BR’s system (singular, we saw no plan b) had been sussed and pretty well nullified by even modest domestic opponents some while before he left. In Europe, it saw embarrassment follow.
I was also clear that sevco were improving. That was inevitable and apparent. The gap was closing.
NFL’’s reign was, for me, a mixed bag. Began well with a strong finish to the season. Last season’s post Christmas sevco implosion shouldn’t have blinded those with a football eye and strategic responsibility to the limitations, dangers and risks that NFL’s leadership brought. Our attempts to qualify for the CL also offered year on year multi £m case studies.
You’re spot on in saying no manager can guarantee success in a cup. But this year was always about the league. And while no one could have guaranteed success at the end of a long season, our directors’ (the clue should be in the name for them) inaction while the situation may have been recoverable, did guarantee the delivery of one thing – failure.
Penny for your thoughts out of genuine interest – after which match did you think it was irrecoverable?
It may surprise to know that I’m a bit of an optimist! For me, it was defeat to St Mirren, though I’d have made the managerial change straight after the first Glasgow derby.
HH jg
JG
It was after the Sevco match in January that I thought we’d blown it
It was definitely gone by the end of the month at the St. Mirren game but we’d had 3 league draws and a home win vs Hamilton between those 2 Sevco matches, so it had been given up by me before St. Mirren I am sure
SFTB
My realistic head knew after that winter derby.
My wee daftie head hangs on longer in hope!
🤷🏼♂️😉
Hot Smoked – And on the back –
Anything is until it isn’t.
Gene- another reason for going to another league, can you imagine that happening anywhere else? I hope McKay has a pair,and gets in front of the cheating huns,I doubt it somehow…
Ernie
was that one of the early betrayers of the working class macdonald or the party acolyte,member of the labour party and founder of the british union of fascists moseley?
or is it the same type/kind who gave us
no blacks.no dogs.no irish.
your fallacy that Scotland is worse than england is just that and a handy tool for the union.divide-rule-administrate and assimilate ….if you dont starve.
Gen question Ernie- would you ever vote tory or advise people to do so?
hope your well and sookin contentedly on the apron of blood
hh
The Dark Charisma Of The SNPcult
A party that, who in its eighty plus years of existence. has never developed, proposed, or, enacted a substantial policy, or, piece of legislation, specifically targeted at the working class.
Yet some call them left-wing. There is not, never has been & never will be, a left-wing marker in the DNA of the SNPcult. They are nationalists, first, last & always. SNP was for decades called, not for nothing, the Tartan Tory party and, if the Tory vote in Scotland had been easier to ‘turn’ than a section of the Labour vote, that’s what it would have targeted.
It is a party of political opportunists, who although receiving 15% of Scotland’s annual budget by way of fiscal transfer from the UK never acknowledges the fact. A party who ignored the building of a world-class carrier in the shipyards of Fife because it was part of UK projects – UK projects that provided and still provide many thousands of skilled jobs in Scotland. However they have on numerous occasions courted the Scottish media outside a shipyard in Port Glasgow, where millions of pounds have been wasted on two small ferries. On one photo-call they even had the windows on the bridge of the only half-completed craft painted black to give a false impression. That is an example, to use a Jim Sillars’ phrase – of political opportunism “on stilts”.
Nationalism needs an object of hate to flourish and when Nationalism flourishes other new objects of hate are needed to keep the fire burning – yes even to include those that they previously courted as allies.
Blood & Soil.
Appellate Tribunal Update | Calvin Bassey, Brian Kinnear, Dapo Mebude, Nathan Patterson, Bongani Zungu (Rangers FC)
Thursday 22 April 2021
Alleged Parties in Breach: Calvin Bassey, Brian Kinnear, Dapo Mebude, Nathan Patterson, Bongani Zungu (Rangers FC)
Date: 13/14 February 2021
Disciplinary Rules allegedly breached:
Disciplinary Rule 24 – A recognised football body, club, official, Team Official or other member of Team Staff, player, match official or other person under the jurisdiction of the Scottish FA shall be subject to and shall comply with the Articles, the Laws of the Game and the rules, procedures and regulations, bye-laws and Decisions of the Scottish FA.
Disciplinary Rule 77 – A recognised football body, club, official, Team Official, other member of Team Staff, player, match official or other person under the jurisdiction of the Scottish FA shall, at all times, act in the best interests of Association Football. Furthermore such person or body shall not act in any manner which is improper or use any one, or a combination of, violent Conduct, serious foul play, threatening, abusive, indecent or insulting words or behaviour.
Principal hearing date: Thursday, 25 March 2021
Outcome: Suspension of 6 matches applied as follows: 4 matches immediate and 2 matches suspended until End of Season 2020/21.
Determination appealed
Appellate Tribunal Hearing (on 20 April 2021) Outcome:
Appeals dismissed;
The Decisions of the appealed Tribunal are affirmed and the original sanctions are re-imposed.
job done , don’t need them now so the ban can start and we sit back and accept it , shocking.
The Rangers F.C. v St. Johnstone F.C.
The Scottish Cup
25/04/2021 6:30pm Ibrox Stadium
Referee:Alan Muir
AR1
David Roome
AR2
Daniel McFarlane
Fourth Official
David Munro
can’t hide their jobs for the boys.
Setting Free….
magic
JHB
dont always agree with you but…
and just wtf was going on with those ferries and the money wasted…
An Tearman
Have never met Ernie but i think he’d rather get season ticket for Ibrox than vote Tory
Leigh Griffiths was barely on the park against Rangers when BANG he had us back in the game drawing that foul when he was ready to strike in the box. He has unbelieveable sharp reflexes in the penalty area and if Eddie didn’t make a horlix of the spot kick Celtic were on the way back into the match. Sevco were being overun at that stage of the game.
If Griff does go to Hibs or Aberdeen I Have a dread for our defenders when the Griff is in opposition. leigh is still a young man and hope that he can now resurrect his career and play again at International level in the upcoming Europoean Championships.
JHB, ironically posted by a British nationalist.
Fan of the empire and a brexiteer.
Wants us to vote tory.
Tell the truth you’re at the wind-up right?
JHB @ 2.53
Doesn’t sit well with most legitimate successful business’s especially us and our fan based wealth and budget.
Having a trillion shares in Sevco won’t pay their wages and GLIB has already warned that thems must sell, so who knows what shape they might be in, when football returns to semblance of normality after this freaky zombie year. A share issue every other month is not a good business model, and had it not been for Covid their wonderful new management team were a baw hair from oblivion, having been beaten by Hamilton.
I don’t advocate Celtic spend money we don’t have, we all know how that turned out for Rainjurz. I’ve posted here as recently as this week punts, loans, and downright Bangura’s have to stop.
Which brings me to my original point, the next move and who we get, to oversee the rebuild is paramount.
I
BOURNESOUPRECIPE @ 5:11
”Thanks in advance to anybody that can explain ole Schrodinger’s cat logic.”
You’re welcome, BSR!
SPIKEYSAULDMAN on 22ND APRIL 2021 6:07 PM
An Tearman
Have never met Ernie but i think he’d rather get season ticket for Ibrox than vote Tory
####
I vote Tory in the Cooncil elections.