The tens of millions Rangers denied SPL clubs laid bare

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The SPL deadline for clubs to provide information on improper registration of players was six weeks ago today but the league has yet to report findings to clubs, while the chief executive rallies support to allow a Newco access to the league.

Time has expired on this policy of non-disclosure until it’s too late.

If the SPL chief executive ever tells us that Rangers fielded improperly registered players between 2000 and 2012, resulting in years of 3-0 defeats being awarded, there will be an enormous amount of anger, not only among supporters, but in boardrooms across the country, as they ponder money which was rightfully theirs but which went to Rangers – perhaps including Rangers prize money for finishing second this season.

We have made an attempt to quantify this money.  Some of the losses were easier to calculate than others.  For example, it was easy to calculate that when Rangers won the title in 2009 with improperly registered players, earning automatic qualification to the Champions League group stage, they denied Celtic £15m European earnings, plus £340k SPL prize money.  Other losses are less clear, specifically when a club was denied a place in a qualifying round for the Champions League or Uefa Cup, which they may or may not have progressed from.

We have established three figures for each club in the SPL during the season just finished, to cover the period from 2000 to 2012:

Minimum loss:
The absolute minimum each club was denied from European and SPL prize money as a result of Rangers finishing above them with ineligible players.

Weighted loss:
The figure based on Scottish clubs gaining entry to Champions League/Europa League (Uefa Cup) group stages from 20% of their qualifying campaigns (which is slightly less than trend).

Maximum loss:
The maximum a club could have achieved if it qualified for the European group stage it was denied entry to.

Out estimates take no account of the subsequent effect money has on future years.  For example, If Celtic earned an additional £15m from entering the Champions League group stage in 2009-10 their league challenge for that season would have been £15m stronger, and Rangers £15m weaker, potentially resulting in consequences in future years.

This multiplier effect would have benefited Celtic but it would be likely to have a greater effect on other clubs, some of whom would be denied the enormous percentage increase in budget automatic qualification to European group stages would have brought.

Hearts finished immediately behind Celtic and Rangers more often than any other club over the period and suffer the greatest potential losses, even more so than Celtic.  Hibernian, Aberdeen, Dundee United and Motherwell also suffered significant losses.

Several clubs got nowhere near European football over the period, and some of the 11 spent only a few years in the SPL but each club lost over £1m.

Figures for each club are:

Hearts
Maximum: £72.3m
Weighted: £16.3m
Minimum: £6.2m

Celtic
Maximum: £46.7m
Weighted: £21.9m
Minimum: £17.4m

Hibernian
Maximum: £34.8m
Weighted: £8.4m
Minimum: £3.6m

Aberdeen
Maximum: £21.1m
Weighted: £5.5m
Minimum: £2.7m

Dundee United
Maximum: £20.8m
Weighted: £5.2m
Minimum: £2.4m

Motherwell
Maximum: £16.7m
Weighted: £4.4m
Minimum: £2.1m

Kilmarnock
Maximum: £5.1m
Weighted: £1.9m
Minimum: £1.3m

Dunfermline
Maximum: £3.4m
Weighted: £1.8m
Minimum: £1.5m

Inverness
Maximum: £1.3m
Weighted: £1.3m
Minimum: £1.3m

St Johnstone
Maximum: £1.1m
Weighted: £1.1m
Minimum: £1.1m

St Mirren
Maximum: £1.1m
Weighted: £1.1m
Minimum: £1.1m

In the event Rangers fielded ineligible players during the period under consideration, which everyone apart from Neil Doncaster knows, and even he will be unable to deny next week, we know the following:

Rangers received a minimum of £40.9m which should have gone to the 11 other clubs, assuming each club lost all their European group stage qualifying campaigns.  This calculation does not include earnings from clubs now in the Scottish Football League, such as Hamilton Accies or Dundee.

If Scottish clubs progressed to the group stages of European competition on only 20% of their qualifying campaigns the loss would be £69.0m.

The figure for total potential losses if clubs successfully progressed to every European group stage is, as the figure for 100% failure, more illustrative than likely, but the maximum cost to the 11 SPL clubs is £224.6m.

Results will be changed, trophies can and will, be re-awarded, but these are the harsh financial consequences clubs, their lawyers and supporters, will consider when the facts are presented to them next week. The SPL executive has had six weeks to consider if there is sufficient evidence to commence disciplinary proceedings; they have failed to do so. They have failed you and every other football supporter in the land, while shamelessly pursuing an accommodation for the errant club BEFORE REVEALING THE FACTS TO YOU.

Time will be up soon, Mr Doncaster. You’ve had your chance but you have convinced no one. The people who really matter in this entire debacle are those who buy tickets for Celtic Park, Pittodrie, Easter Road, Tynecastle, Tannadice, Fir Park and the rest, they will hear the truth and read these figures. You have failed them.

You can read our calculations here. European income figures were sources from Uefa data.

Celtic’s disadvantage deepened when their winger John Doyle was sent off ten minutes into the second half for kicking the scorer, but there was an equaliser from Aitken, who was especially suited to a night of such fervour and force. Never bashful, Aitken was stimulated by the challenge of being in an outnumbered line-up.

From Celtic: A Biography in Nine Lives, by Kevin McCarra.

You can buy a hard copy of the new issue of CQN Magazine via Magcloud here.

The graphic below is just for a flick through, to read the magazine go here to it’s dedicated site.

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  1. !!Bada Bing!! on

    Major respect to Brendan Rodgers for knocking back an approach from Liverpool.He said he was unemployed for 6 months in 2010,couldn’t get a job with a Championship club,then Swansea stepped in.Liverpool job must be £2mil a year minimum, integrity and honesty from a good tim.

  2. Well, that’s the ST bought – thought it best to wait for the wife to head out so I can just say I panicked cos it was a deadline when we have the ole ‘can we really afford it’ debate.

     

     

    S

  3. Arranmore, i had to pick myself up off the floor, the pandering to that shower of bigoted neanderthals(sp) is utterly unbelievable!

  4. Back to Basics - Glass Half Full on

    My compliments Paul

     

     

    In terms of content, timing and as a reminder of your CQN raison d’etre this is probably your best ever article.

     

     

    To the mainstream media who are lurking here

     

     

    You’ve failed and you’re history.

     

     

    Our host and his acolytes have taken readily available base data, made simple calculations and presented a range of hypotheses based on actual trends.

     

     

    We know you are too stupid to execute the last activity but you had no excuse for not delivering on the first two.

     

     

    In years to come “internet bampots” will go down in infamy alongside “succulent lamb”

     

     

    Us fools on the hill have rendered 90% of you redundant.

     

     

    And no matter how much you get behind the Rangers effort to push the tide back your efforts are doomed.

     

     

    I won’t shed a tear at the demise of Rangers but I won’t celebrate either.

     

     

    However I will celebrate the end of the dumbed down MSM.

     

     

    You’ve failed a nation for a generation.

     

     

    Hail Hail, the internet bampots are here.

  5. Paul67,

     

     

    After being stripped of their trophys when will the inquest into the tainted 9 in a row begin ?

  6. fergus slayed the blues on

    leftclicktic on 18 May, 2012 at 17:51 said:

     

    I won’t hold my breath the MSM seem to be willing to spout their ragers propaganda on a new diet of succulent spam .

  7. ShaunGibson1888 ‏@ShaunGibson1888

     

    @alextomo Alex..you heard Mr Green has feel out with D&P?,,,If not..Unaudited accounts..Why no talk of this..You know?

     

     

    mmmmmm

  8. rangers in administration the gift that keeps on giving…

     

     

    Would be Rangers owner Charlie

     

    Green has revealed that the

     

    deal to transfer Craig Whyte’s is

     

    off if a CVA isn’t accepted.

     

    Ibrox administrators Duff and

     

    Phelps highlighted the transfer of

     

    Whyte’s 85% shareholding as a

     

    great breakthrough in the Green

     

    deal but the chances of a CVA with

     

    £8.5m or less for creditors seems

     

    highly unlikely.

     

    HMRC and Ticketus are both owed

     

    more than 25% of Rangers total

     

    debt and have the power to reject

     

    a CVA. Both bills have been run up

     

    over the last 12 months.

     

    Speaking to Blues News, Rangers

     

    own online service Green

     

    admitted: “The contract was

     

    signed by Craig Whyte and

     

    witnessed by the lawyers and

     

    advisors. That contract between

     

    Craig Whyte and Sevco, the bid

     

    vehicle, is binding.

     

    “The only way that the contract

     

    will terminate is in the event of the

     

    CVA not being approved. Mr

     

    Whyte’s transfer of shares to

     

    Sevco is conditional upon that but

     

    otherwise it is irrevocable. “

  9. I enjoy watching the pantomime that surrounds the mainstream media trying to save rangers from the fate that they undoubtedly deserve. They go as far as they can without actually saying that they know the extents that their club has cheated to but just wish we could all write it off now and let them have a fresh start.

     

     

    In actual fact, everything they have said for the past weeks and months means exactly that, but is dressed up to suit their twisted and single minded agenda. We, as Celtic fans and/or supporters, know that for what it is, and we seek to expose this as the tissue of lies and deceipt that we know it to be as and whe we can.

     

     

    I”m normally very content to stand by and watch people of the calibre of Paul who is far more erudite, perceptive and intellectual than me, take up up our cause, expose the facts, and call for justice to be done. He, and others we all know, say it so much better than I and most of us ever will be able to.

     

     

    Now and again though, something comes up in the mainstream media that really gets on my tits, and it’s usually something that reeks of the double standards that we’ve come to know and expect from our national reporters and commentators and I can’t just watch or listen without comment.

     

     

    Let me take you back a year and a bit to a time when Scottish ref”s went on strike and we we about to be treated to foreign ref’s taking their place to oversee games in the SPL. Well our media were outraged and actually called the replacement ref’s directly to advise them of (their version of) the circumstances that they were coming to Scotland under. They even had the audacity to put it out on the air on national radio as if they were upholding all that was decent on behalf of an entire country at the time. Not on my behalf of course, but in line with their usual standards the other side of that particular argument was never discussed.

     

     

    And now I’m reading how ‘the team’ investing in Rangers, that comes from all over the place, is vey happy to invest in an institution such the the bigoted cheats, and in fact it’s very easy to do just that. Well I’m wondering if any of that same media has contacted the investors the way they did with the refs to clarify just exactly what they’re investing in and why they actually need that investment now, and I’ll tell you what…

     

     

    I would bet my mortgage on the fact that you won’t hear those that called up the ref’s calling these investors to clarify matters for them to preserve the decency and integrity of the Scottish game. Because there isn’t any now, and there never really was any. All there has been is the lickspittle press in this country peddling their tawdry lies in support of their employers’ paymasters.

     

     

    Prove me wrong.

     

     

    KevinBhoy.

  10. gebhoy is the taxmans tick tocking clock, tick...tock on

    Paul,

     

     

    Kudos to you mate, that is one of the best leader articles i have read on the blog. Nobody should now be in any doubt about how much the last decade of hun cheating has cost not just us but the whole of Scottish football.

     

     

    Hearts, Aberdeen, Hibs & Dundee Utd have all potentially suffered loses of more than £15 million, this is astounding, how much good could some of that cash have done for the Scottish game?

     

     

    Neil Doncaster better man up, justice has to be done here, i have always felt that the hun would get away with it, a small part of me still thinks they will slither out of it somehow, but after revelation after revelation that comes out even the most pessimistic of us most know there is no way back for hun1872.

     

     

    The SFA independent panel that upheld the original judgement has restored some of the faith that i had that the administrators of our game have now no other option than to apply the laws of the game without fear or favor, time for the SPL chief exec to take heed!

     

     

    Anyways great article and lets hope that after next weeks expose on the hun, we will finally be able to flush that jobby away that at the minute keeps floating to the surface, let Mark Daly apply the “plunger”

     

     

    Hail Hail

     

     

    gebhoy

  11. When you hear Los Dufferos speak they sound exactly what they are : London wide boys who’re into creative accounting.

     

    “Loadsamoney!”

     

    They must be feelin’ the squeaky bum thang!

     

    As for Moist? Neddo Supremo. Nasty little critter.

     

    Hell mend them all.

  12. ASonOfDan on 18 May, 2012 at 18:23 said:

     

     

    Didn’t Duffer and Duffest just say last week that a CVA was impossible??

     

     

    And now Charliebhoy’s whole deal depends on a “CVA”

     

     

    Curious and curiouser…

     

     

    Wide ‘os the lotta them..

  13. sixtaeseven: No NewClub in SPL and it's Non-Negotiable! on

    KevinBhoy

     

    Great post.

     

    We all know/hope and pray that RFC (ia) is more or less dead.

     

     

    The media is something else. They are not driven by truth and integrity – they are driven by circulation figures.

     

    Their “jobs” are on the line – hopefully next season they will be replaced by proper sports journalists.

     

     

    Sadly, in the 21st century, even that seems pretty ambitious.

  14. fergus slayed the blues on

    KevinBhoy on 18 May, 2012 at 18:27 said:

     

    Excellent post

     

    hail hail

  15. Nuclear Bovril and a Half Munched Pie on

    Hmmmm so….

     

     

    The unconditional condition of the unconditional transfer of the worthless shares and the sale going ahead is that a CVA is approved.

     

     

    Is Craigy the arch hoodwinker of hoodwinkers about to hoodwink another hoodwinker in yet another chapter of his hoodwinking hoodwinkage?

     

     

    Or are we all going to be winked at by a hood?

     

     

    This should be appointed by the government of Greece to wink their way out of there terrible hood related horror.

  16. Aaaaaah…..to hell with it all. I want to move to Malta,and y’know what? I will probably do just that.

     

    I once thought I’d move back to Scotland to see out my days,going to Celtic Park,enjoyin’ bein’ with family and great Celts,but this fiasco has exposed it for the bigoted,last redoubt of the worst kind of Loyalist.

     

    No thanks.

  17. fergus slayed the blues on

    Listen to this muppet on snyde

     

    Can ragers appeal to CAS and so delay the ban ,so they can sign players

     

    Now can we just stop messing about and shut this mob down once and for all

     

    hail hail

  18. Kelvinbhoy.

     

     

    Great post ,but I’m telling your Da ,you said a bad word.

  19. Keevins (the fud) states he has scant knowledge. Aye…except when he spouts his reams of sly bigotry.

     

    A truly reprehensible muppet.

  20. VP

     

    text me if you change your mind ..

     

     

    Bernie and WDH making an appearance..

  21. Nuclear Bovril and a Half Munched Pie on

    miki67 on 18 May, 2012

     

     

    Be fair. I’m sure he has knowledge of scants if nothing else

  22. The hun commentators on Snyde will speculate on everything……except anything that casts their beloved Rankers in a dark light.

     

    Broadcasting?

     

    No.

     

    Just propaganda.

     

    Goebbels would be proud of them.

  23. blantyretim on 18 May, 2012 at 18:46 said:

     

     

    Thanks mate,can’t make it,anyways P ,will be burnt oot after

     

    that great post today.

     

     

    Hail hail,enjoy.

  24. So the spl could become the equvalent of Sat. afternoon wrestling?

     

    And the Scottish msm think this is okay?

     

    Cartoonland.

  25. miki67 on 18 May, 2012 at 18:48 said:

     

     

    It’s not that the 3 on the panel tonight are hun minded – they’re clearly not. As for self preservation, that’s another story.

  26. Rankers have big name players?….who?…..Bluto?Attila the hun?

     

    Fire sale for ageing has-beens benefiting from seasons of violence and mibbery.

     

    What a total joke.

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