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The tens of millions Rangers denied SPL clubs laid bare

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The SPL deadline for clubs to provide information on improper registration of players was six weeks ago today but the league has yet to report findings to clubs, while the chief executive rallies support to allow a Newco access to the league.

Time has expired on this policy of non-disclosure until it’s too late.

If the SPL chief executive ever tells us that Rangers fielded improperly registered players between 2000 and 2012, resulting in years of 3-0 defeats being awarded, there will be an enormous amount of anger, not only among supporters, but in boardrooms across the country, as they ponder money which was rightfully theirs but which went to Rangers – perhaps including Rangers prize money for finishing second this season.

We have made an attempt to quantify this money.  Some of the losses were easier to calculate than others.  For example, it was easy to calculate that when Rangers won the title in 2009 with improperly registered players, earning automatic qualification to the Champions League group stage, they denied Celtic £15m European earnings, plus £340k SPL prize money.  Other losses are less clear, specifically when a club was denied a place in a qualifying round for the Champions League or Uefa Cup, which they may or may not have progressed from.

We have established three figures for each club in the SPL during the season just finished, to cover the period from 2000 to 2012:

Minimum loss:
The absolute minimum each club was denied from European and SPL prize money as a result of Rangers finishing above them with ineligible players.

Weighted loss:
The figure based on Scottish clubs gaining entry to Champions League/Europa League (Uefa Cup) group stages from 20% of their qualifying campaigns (which is slightly less than trend).

Maximum loss:
The maximum a club could have achieved if it qualified for the European group stage it was denied entry to.

Out estimates take no account of the subsequent effect money has on future years.  For example, If Celtic earned an additional £15m from entering the Champions League group stage in 2009-10 their league challenge for that season would have been £15m stronger, and Rangers £15m weaker, potentially resulting in consequences in future years.

This multiplier effect would have benefited Celtic but it would be likely to have a greater effect on other clubs, some of whom would be denied the enormous percentage increase in budget automatic qualification to European group stages would have brought.

Hearts finished immediately behind Celtic and Rangers more often than any other club over the period and suffer the greatest potential losses, even more so than Celtic.  Hibernian, Aberdeen, Dundee United and Motherwell also suffered significant losses.

Several clubs got nowhere near European football over the period, and some of the 11 spent only a few years in the SPL but each club lost over £1m.

Figures for each club are:

Hearts
Maximum: £72.3m
Weighted: £16.3m
Minimum: £6.2m

Celtic
Maximum: £46.7m
Weighted: £21.9m
Minimum: £17.4m

Hibernian
Maximum: £34.8m
Weighted: £8.4m
Minimum: £3.6m

Aberdeen
Maximum: £21.1m
Weighted: £5.5m
Minimum: £2.7m

Dundee United
Maximum: £20.8m
Weighted: £5.2m
Minimum: £2.4m

Motherwell
Maximum: £16.7m
Weighted: £4.4m
Minimum: £2.1m

Kilmarnock
Maximum: £5.1m
Weighted: £1.9m
Minimum: £1.3m

Dunfermline
Maximum: £3.4m
Weighted: £1.8m
Minimum: £1.5m

Inverness
Maximum: £1.3m
Weighted: £1.3m
Minimum: £1.3m

St Johnstone
Maximum: £1.1m
Weighted: £1.1m
Minimum: £1.1m

St Mirren
Maximum: £1.1m
Weighted: £1.1m
Minimum: £1.1m

In the event Rangers fielded ineligible players during the period under consideration, which everyone apart from Neil Doncaster knows, and even he will be unable to deny next week, we know the following:

Rangers received a minimum of £40.9m which should have gone to the 11 other clubs, assuming each club lost all their European group stage qualifying campaigns.  This calculation does not include earnings from clubs now in the Scottish Football League, such as Hamilton Accies or Dundee.

If Scottish clubs progressed to the group stages of European competition on only 20% of their qualifying campaigns the loss would be £69.0m.

The figure for total potential losses if clubs successfully progressed to every European group stage is, as the figure for 100% failure, more illustrative than likely, but the maximum cost to the 11 SPL clubs is £224.6m.

Results will be changed, trophies can and will, be re-awarded, but these are the harsh financial consequences clubs, their lawyers and supporters, will consider when the facts are presented to them next week. The SPL executive has had six weeks to consider if there is sufficient evidence to commence disciplinary proceedings; they have failed to do so. They have failed you and every other football supporter in the land, while shamelessly pursuing an accommodation for the errant club BEFORE REVEALING THE FACTS TO YOU.

Time will be up soon, Mr Doncaster. You’ve had your chance but you have convinced no one. The people who really matter in this entire debacle are those who buy tickets for Celtic Park, Pittodrie, Easter Road, Tynecastle, Tannadice, Fir Park and the rest, they will hear the truth and read these figures. You have failed them.

You can read our calculations here. European income figures were sources from Uefa data.

Celtic’s disadvantage deepened when their winger John Doyle was sent off ten minutes into the second half for kicking the scorer, but there was an equaliser from Aitken, who was especially suited to a night of such fervour and force. Never bashful, Aitken was stimulated by the challenge of being in an outnumbered line-up.

From Celtic: A Biography in Nine Lives, by Kevin McCarra.

You can buy a hard copy of the new issue of CQN Magazine via Magcloud here.

The graphic below is just for a flick through, to read the magazine go here to it’s dedicated site.

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  1. Paul67

     

    First Class my Bhoy

     

     

    Bold, brave and undaunted was Paul Brennan of the news

  2. Ernie

     

     

    Ben Johnson might have won the 100m final in 88 if he hadn’t cheated, but you know what? We’ll NEVER know if he would have!

     

     

    The reason for that is because he DID cheat and got what he deserved! The huns deserve the same fate! All titles and records wiped out. BTW a great wee bonus from that is that TFPLG will loose all his goal tallies and will no longer be the huns record scorer!!!!

     

     

    :-)

  3. BOBBY MURDOCH'S CURLED-UP WINKLEPICKERS on

    PAUL67

     

     

    I think this is the finest article you have written,many of us have speculated-incoherently at times-along these lines,but to have it quantified,is faffin’ DYNAMITE!

     

     

    And,lest we forget……..

     

     

    YOU ERRED ON THE SIDE OF CAUTION!

     

     

    Brilliant work,bud.

  4. Dontbrattbakkinanger on

    Scotland could have won the WC in 1978 if Willie Johnston hadn’t cheated.

     

    Hold on…

  5. harryhoodsdugbitme on 18 May, 2012 at 14:34 said:

     

    Brilliant P67. btw strong rumours murray has an injuction against the beeb stopping the programme being aired! ‘walls come tumbiling down’ CSC HH.

     

    —–

     

    Think it was reported that he tried to have it stopped but evidence showed he had no grounds so will go ahead.

     

    From reports on the content it’s no surprise thathe has tried as the program claims he tapped Fergus McCann’s phone so if true goes way beyond football and all their shenanigans (really like that word)!!

     

     

    HH

     

    /Bishop B

  6. Paul – brilliant stuff.

     

    I am sure Alex Thomson will read these with great interest.

     

    Keep up the good work; your level of research and analysis continues to shame the poodles in the MSM.

     

     

    Roll on next week!!!

  7. greenjedi on 18 May, 2012 at 14:39 said:

     

    Ernie

     

     

    Ben Johnson might have won the 100m final in 88 if he hadn’t cheated, but you know what? We’ll NEVER know if he would have!

     

     

    The reason for that is because he DID cheat and got what he deserved! The huns deserve the same fate! All titles and records wiped out. BTW a great wee bonus from that is that TFPLG will loose all his goal tallies and will no longer be the huns record scorer!!!!

     

     

    ======================

     

    And poor Kris Boyd, he will no longer be ‘better’ than Oor Henke!!!

  8. The breakdown of figures by Paul67 is a showstopper.

     

    If the rumours about Mark Daly’s documentary are true,then the horrorshow is about to reach its finale.

     

    None of this would have happened if it hadn’t been for the likes of CQN and other assorted ‘internet bampots’.

     

    Their work has been instrumental in ensuring that the pile of ordure emanating from Hell F.C. has not been surreptitiously swept under the big orange rug.

     

    I applaud all of you who have far more insight & knowledge than this internet bampot.

     

    HH ! : ))

  9. Great piece again Paul. This is why – at least part of me – wants them to survive. There must be a legal route for Scottish clubs to go after all these loss of earnings. And plenty European clubs as well, likesay.

  10. Tour de force Paul.

     

    I hope Celtic make use of this when discussions on reentry resume.

     

    Cheats AND thieves, to borrow a headline.

  11. Gene’s a Bhoys name:

     

     

    I’m not arguing against, or with, hypothesis. Paul offered his spreadsheet supportive to his article and I couldn’t see how Hearts stood to lose more than us. When you look back over the results, and I did it from a Hearts perspective, I did it with my head not my heart. I don’t see how Hearts, in my opinion, would have gotten the results to secure them a roll on revenue.

     

     

    I’m not knocking Paul’s conclusions but others will.

  12. Gene's a Bhoys name on

    Is there a record of any journo asking Doncaster about the report findings?

  13. Charles Green says,

     

    “The fans are the club’s greatest asset and their commitment to season tickets will be an important part of rebuilding Rangers.”

     

     

     

    Will they get a big fee for the fans when they liquidate?

     

    Will they sell them as individuals?

     

    Adopt a Hun?

     

     

    Or sell them as a job lot. Rent a Mob.

     

     

     

    Perhaps in thousand packages. Huns r us

  14. traditionalist88 on

    I wonder if someone will raise this on the last Supersnoreboard of the season…

  15. Now why would anyone want an injunction against this?

     

    DOCUMENTARY: Rangers – The Men Who Sold the Jerseys

     

    On: BBC 1

     

    Date: Wednesday 23rd May 2012 (starting in 5 days)

     

    Time: 20:00 to 21:00 (1 hour long)

     

     

    Documentary charting the scandal which brought Rangers FC to its knees, revealing what went on behind the scenes in the run-up to Craig Whyte’s infamous takeover. From the day Sir David Murray took up the reigns at Ibrox, through the nine consecutive Championship wins, to the ignominy of Craig Whyte’s reign and the plunge into administration, the documentary charts the descent from glory into chaos of one of Scotland’s great institutions. Reporter Mark Daly searches for answers to questions every Scottish football fan is asking, and attempts to confront those who are responsible for the Ibrox club’s plight.

  16. Superb work Paul67. That we should be reading this first from a guy who is not doing this for a day job is something of a disgrace.

     

     

    The truth is though that it is far better coming from the New Media. The literary dwarves of the MSM continue to shrink as CQN and other Celtic minded new Mhedia grows.

     

     

    Well done that mhan.

     

     

    Jim Whyte will be along any minute to ask you why you are so good!

  17. P67

     

     

    A fantastic piece of work.

     

     

    It is important that this gets a wider audience (and quickly).

     

     

    1. Fellow CQNers – we need to share with friends, colleagues and those that we know, particularly supporters of other teams. Most journalists cannot be relied upon to give this an airing;

     

    2. This is just the effect on the SPL & Scottish teams in European competition. The Europeans teams affected must number 40+. How many of them know of the cheating that financially impacted them?

     

    3. Big Sammy’s Agent, @LawTop20, confirmed a few weeks ago that he is advising on our interests in a European context;

     

    4. This does not consider the cup competitions in Scotland and the effect of that is not just financial;

     

    5. I encourage fellow season ticket holders to renew. Let us not penalise our Club;

     

     

    Their crimes know no depth….no apology, no remorse, no nothing…..just a desire to promote a WATP mentality, and sadly most journalists support this where sporting integrity comes last in their mindset whilst they promote to No.1 their myth about Scotland needs Rangers.

     

     

    I don’t need their stinking club We don’t need their stinking club.

     

     

    CHEATS, ROGUES AND VAGABONDS

     

     

    hhplc

  18. Celtic_First on

    Excellent post on RTC from Richard Wilson (@timomouse) earlier (about 12.30 pm).

     

     

    He paints a very interesting argument as to why, if they fail to get a CVA in place, Rangers are unlikely to kick a ball in anger at any level next season.

     

     

    However, one thing I think needs clarifying is this. Richard Wilson says: “By this point, there is a space in the league system, everyone moves up one and a new team applies to and joins SFL Division 3. This team is NOT Rangers … .” His argument is that Rangers or New Club will be too distracted with appeals that they should get straight into the SPL that they will miss the Division 3 bus.

     

     

    What I’m interested in is this. With relegation and promotion play-offs between SFL clubs to decide places in all three SFL divisions, “everyone moves up one” will not work. It would be awful if that served as a loophole to allow Rangers or New Club to play fourth-tier football, so I thought it would be worth trying to clarify what would happen to the SFL clubs involved in that scenario.

  19. DiCanioWasADream on

    BBC Scotland saying Rangers admin canceling ticketus contract

     

     

    Born67

  20. googybhoy ♥ Celtic and Liquidation on May 25th. on 18 May, 2012 at 14:47 said:

     

    Charles Green says,

     

    “The fans are the club’s greatest asset and their commitment to season tickets will be an important part of rebuilding Rangers.”

     

     

    Will they get a big fee for the fans when they liquidate?

     

    Will they sell them as individuals?

     

    Adopt a Hun?

     

     

    Or sell them as a job lot. Rent a Mob.

     

     

    Perhaps in thousand packages. Huns r us

     

    ——————————————————————————————

     

     

    LMAO. Thanks for that mate. Coffee all over the laptop and desk.

  21. Rumour and absolutely nothing more than rumour has it that greatest Ranger of all time has, or had EBT.

  22. DiCanioWasADream on 18 May, 2012 at 15:05 said:

     

    BBC Scotland saying Rangers admin canceling ticketus contract

     

     

    Born67

     

    ——

     

    And I’ve call the Halifax to cancel my mortgage.

     

     

    More Duff & Duffer pa5h!

     

    I’m sure Ticketus don’t have a problem with that.

     

     

    HH

     

    /Bishop B

  23. Glendalystonsils likes a mr whippy with his lime green jelly on

    Not only Celtic fans, but fans of all other Spl clubs (barring RFCIA) should be very grateful to Paul 67 for the work done on this article. Hope Doncaster reads it and is thoroughly ashamed of himself.

  24. Steinreignedsupreme on

    quonno on 18 May, 2012 at 15:08:

     

     

    “Rumour and absolutely nothing more than rumour has it that greatest Ranger of all time has, or had EBT.”

     

     

    Apparently the Soviet Union has sent a man into space…

  25. RalphWaldoEllison-is Neil Lennon Season 2011-12 on

    Have you sent this article to people you know who are fans of any other Scottish clubs?

     

    Just sent it to a Dons fan, whose sister is a Jambo, who is married to…

     

    well you get the drift.

     

     

    Spread the word.

     

    HH

  26. Our Old Pal on twitter..

     

     

    Árd Macha ‏@Ard_Macha

     

    #Rangers want to build connections with the Middle East. Do they not thnk that region has suffered enough.

  27. Does that mean we’d have 50 championships and they’d be left with 47, are we guinness book of records now!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  28. I said “Go Tell The English”. This information changes all of that. It is now “Go Tell The Whole World”. What a piece of NON-LAZY JOURNALISM, Paul. You put the hacks to shame – sorry! They don’t do that, do they? My congratulations but even more, my admiration for a bit of brilliant research and deduction.

     

     

    H H

     

     

    PS Wish you would post a bit later. By the time I get onto the computer it looks like I am not that keen. What time do I need up to show interest or is the answer

     

    all-nighters?

  29. James Doleman ‏@jamesdoleman

     

    New investors in #Rangers are a property developer and a Hotel consultant, are you thinking what I’m thinking?

     

     

    ++++

     

     

    TAL

  30. Paul67,

     

    Could this mean that players in opposing teams could have potentially been robbed of bonus money ?

     

     

    What would fraser wishart do if his union members wanted to take action?

     

     

    HH

  31. Reprehensible reptiles.

     

     

    Not a crumb of remorse among the lot of them…even those who are there to see justice and integrity is done,.. And whoknows Where else.

     

     

    There is no bounds to their ShamelessNess.

     

     

    Thieves, Crooks,…Animals.

     

     

    Power to your pen Paul 67.

  32. tyrehoops,

     

     

    That’s a very good point. Think of all those players who missed out on win bonuses,, cup won bonuses, European qualification bonuses, etc.

     

     

    The Players’ Union should be building a case as we speak.

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