The SPL deadline for clubs to provide information on improper registration of players was six weeks ago today but the league has yet to report findings to clubs, while the chief executive rallies support to allow a Newco access to the league.
Time has expired on this policy of non-disclosure until it’s too late.
If the SPL chief executive ever tells us that Rangers fielded improperly registered players between 2000 and 2012, resulting in years of 3-0 defeats being awarded, there will be an enormous amount of anger, not only among supporters, but in boardrooms across the country, as they ponder money which was rightfully theirs but which went to Rangers – perhaps including Rangers prize money for finishing second this season.
We have made an attempt to quantify this money. Some of the losses were easier to calculate than others. For example, it was easy to calculate that when Rangers won the title in 2009 with improperly registered players, earning automatic qualification to the Champions League group stage, they denied Celtic £15m European earnings, plus £340k SPL prize money. Other losses are less clear, specifically when a club was denied a place in a qualifying round for the Champions League or Uefa Cup, which they may or may not have progressed from.
We have established three figures for each club in the SPL during the season just finished, to cover the period from 2000 to 2012:
Minimum loss:
The absolute minimum each club was denied from European and SPL prize money as a result of Rangers finishing above them with ineligible players.
Weighted loss:
The figure based on Scottish clubs gaining entry to Champions League/Europa League (Uefa Cup) group stages from 20% of their qualifying campaigns (which is slightly less than trend).
Maximum loss:
The maximum a club could have achieved if it qualified for the European group stage it was denied entry to.
Out estimates take no account of the subsequent effect money has on future years. For example, If Celtic earned an additional £15m from entering the Champions League group stage in 2009-10 their league challenge for that season would have been £15m stronger, and Rangers £15m weaker, potentially resulting in consequences in future years.
This multiplier effect would have benefited Celtic but it would be likely to have a greater effect on other clubs, some of whom would be denied the enormous percentage increase in budget automatic qualification to European group stages would have brought.
Hearts finished immediately behind Celtic and Rangers more often than any other club over the period and suffer the greatest potential losses, even more so than Celtic. Hibernian, Aberdeen, Dundee United and Motherwell also suffered significant losses.
Several clubs got nowhere near European football over the period, and some of the 11 spent only a few years in the SPL but each club lost over £1m.
Figures for each club are:
Hearts
Maximum: £72.3m
Weighted: £16.3m
Minimum: £6.2m
Celtic
Maximum: £46.7m
Weighted: £21.9m
Minimum: £17.4m
Hibernian
Maximum: £34.8m
Weighted: £8.4m
Minimum: £3.6m
Aberdeen
Maximum: £21.1m
Weighted: £5.5m
Minimum: £2.7m
Dundee United
Maximum: £20.8m
Weighted: £5.2m
Minimum: £2.4m
Motherwell
Maximum: £16.7m
Weighted: £4.4m
Minimum: £2.1m
Kilmarnock
Maximum: £5.1m
Weighted: £1.9m
Minimum: £1.3m
Dunfermline
Maximum: £3.4m
Weighted: £1.8m
Minimum: £1.5m
Inverness
Maximum: £1.3m
Weighted: £1.3m
Minimum: £1.3m
St Johnstone
Maximum: £1.1m
Weighted: £1.1m
Minimum: £1.1m
St Mirren
Maximum: £1.1m
Weighted: £1.1m
Minimum: £1.1m
In the event Rangers fielded ineligible players during the period under consideration, which everyone apart from Neil Doncaster knows, and even he will be unable to deny next week, we know the following:
Rangers received a minimum of £40.9m which should have gone to the 11 other clubs, assuming each club lost all their European group stage qualifying campaigns. This calculation does not include earnings from clubs now in the Scottish Football League, such as Hamilton Accies or Dundee.
If Scottish clubs progressed to the group stages of European competition on only 20% of their qualifying campaigns the loss would be £69.0m.
The figure for total potential losses if clubs successfully progressed to every European group stage is, as the figure for 100% failure, more illustrative than likely, but the maximum cost to the 11 SPL clubs is £224.6m.
Results will be changed, trophies can and will, be re-awarded, but these are the harsh financial consequences clubs, their lawyers and supporters, will consider when the facts are presented to them next week. The SPL executive has had six weeks to consider if there is sufficient evidence to commence disciplinary proceedings; they have failed to do so. They have failed you and every other football supporter in the land, while shamelessly pursuing an accommodation for the errant club BEFORE REVEALING THE FACTS TO YOU.
Time will be up soon, Mr Doncaster. You’ve had your chance but you have convinced no one. The people who really matter in this entire debacle are those who buy tickets for Celtic Park, Pittodrie, Easter Road, Tynecastle, Tannadice, Fir Park and the rest, they will hear the truth and read these figures. You have failed them.
You can read our calculations here. European income figures were sources from Uefa data.
Celtic’s disadvantage deepened when their winger John Doyle was sent off ten minutes into the second half for kicking the scorer, but there was an equaliser from Aitken, who was especially suited to a night of such fervour and force. Never bashful, Aitken was stimulated by the challenge of being in an outnumbered line-up.
From Celtic: A Biography in Nine Lives, by Kevin McCarra.
You can buy a hard copy of the new issue of CQN Magazine via Magcloud here.
The graphic below is just for a flick through, to read the magazine go here to it’s dedicated site.
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Latest news from SSN, Grant Holt has slapped in a transfer request and Norwich have refused to accept it.
Ally must have gone back in for him…..
T4
I cannot see how SPL punishment can be transferred from one company to new different company comprising of new different directors.
I cannot see how this would stand up against legal action or that Doncaster would have the desire to see it through.
Ten Men Won The League, 16:38
Grant Holt – maybe the Green war chest has been opened and Swally’s made his first move?
celticinthesun on 18 May, 2012 at 16:53 said:
It won’t
hail hail
ole Grant must be fed up with Stephen Fry correctin’ his syntax.
Rangers new investor…….
aved Abdullah @ Jude Allen has over 33 years experience in the hospitality industry. Previously served as Chief Executive Officer of Signforce Hospitality for 13 years. Also served as Executive Director for Radisson International Asia Pacific and Area Director for Hilton International. Javed had been personally involved in the design and development of more than 15 hotels throughout the world and is an expert in areas of Strategy, Development, Hotel Planning and Design, Project Management, Information Systems, Management and Control Systems. Educated in the United States in Industrial Engineering
Mmmmmmm;
O.G.Rafferty on 18 May, 2012 at 16:54 said:
Are you suggesting the Ibrokes clip artist can do birth certificates
hail hail
West Wales Celt on 18 May, 2012 at 16:45 said:
”The figures stuff is all speculative.”
That’s in the nature of counter factual history.
Interesting enough but ultimately pretty futile.
Chairman Mao was once asked what difference it would have made to world history if Khrushchev, rather than JFK, had been assassinated. He thought for a moment and then replied ‘I don’t suppose Aristotle Onassis would have married Mrs Khrushchev.’
That kind of sums it up.
Modren counter factual history is rubbish.
celticinthesun on 18 May, 2012 at 16:53 said:
”I cannot see how SPL punishment can be transferred from one company to new different company comprising of new different directors.”
The only way it could be done is if the newco agree to it as a condition of getting SPL membership (in respect of SPL sanctions) or an SFA licence (in respect of SFA sanctions).
Liquidation is a dish best served cold.
Jelly n Ice Cream CSC
Just passed Maine Rd earlier. New houses have been built.
I smiled and thought it will be great to pass Govan in a few years and see the new houses at Ipox. New hotel.also.
ernie-very good point,but will it be part of any deal I wonder? A fait accompli for the Newclub hopefully.
The Radisson Ibrox welcomes you…
Worst case scenario for Scottish football
Rangers try CVA and fail
Meanwhile Newco Club created and obtain Rangers “share” in SPL.
False registration issue lands and Rangers stripped of titles.
New club Rangers given old Rangers history like AFC Wimbledon
3 years without European football.
150 debt wiped
BTC lands with no impact
False registration punishments for New Club Rangers rescinded in the face of aggressive legal action.
Can anyone tell me why this won’t happen?
How ironic to see Glasgow Evening Times billboards with a word first coined on CQN
Newco.
Ernie
And Green would sign up to this?
The only way he would is if he was given assurances that the punishments would not wreck his investment.
SFL 3 would wreck his investment.
10 points deduction every season wouldn’t, for example.
celticinthesun. Fella in this bigoted wee Country anything is possible including your scenario.H.H.
DR…………..Mark Hateley wants the ‘next’ SFA Rangers panel should be Walter Smith, Graeme Souness and Dick Advocaat.
Presumably all played by Jonathan Watson.
bournesouprecipe on 18 May, 2012 at 17:04 said:
How ironic to see Glasgow Evening Times billboards with a word first coined on CQN
……….
Thought you were going to say…
Hungufferry
When we see that we will know we have won.
Paul67 this is why your CQN is the best.
Great detail and truth.
I am thinking of the detriment to many young Scottish players and other Scottish teams (even Ayr Utd spring to mind) and even the National side due to this behaviour.
“Boss Ally McCoist has admitted in the past that dropping down to the Irn-Bru Third Division may be morally right but believes such a scenario would be to the detriment of the rest of the SPL.”
……………..thats how huns think
bournesouprecipe on 18 May, 2012 at 17:04 said:
How ironic to see Glasgow Evening Times billboards with a word first coined on CQN
—————————————————————————————–
You got me all excited there – thought it was going to be ‘hunguffery’
ernie lynch on 18 May, 2012 at 12:54 said:
Aye..what if Rangers hadn’t cheated for 140 years.
What if there was a Sanity Clause.
However, if the rules are retrospectively applied and huns games are all historically converted to 3-0 defeats then the loss of income becomes a fact.
I think this info will detract from any baw kickin hesistators.
Especially SPL ones.
Tim Malone Will Tell on 18 May, 2012 at 17:12 said:
Great minds think alike……
Margaret McGill on 18 May, 2012 at 17:13 said:
ernie lynch on 18 May, 2012 at 12:54 said:
Aye..what if Rangers hadn’t cheated for 140 years.
What if there was a Sanity Clause.
……………..
Everybody knows there ain’t no Sanity Claus.
MarxBrothersCSC
Margaret McGill on 18 May, 2012 at 17:13 said:
But if club chairmen are concerned about the potential loss of future income the fact that they may or may not have lost past income isn’t going to influence their decision.
Horsey types : Sainglend is expected to do well in the 20:15 at Aintree this evening.
Tally Ho
TTTT
When the billboards look like this then we’ll know our larks is toppermost of the poppermost.
Googybhoy
Indeed – although you beat me on the draw.
Think it might have been bournesouprecipe who coined ‘hunguffery’ as a newterm – maybe he can confirm.
Great word though – I just have this mental image of old Frank Muir and Patrick whatsisface putting forward their definitions on ‘Call my Bluff’. In this particular case, the truth would be much harder to believe than any fiction.
ernie lynch on 18 May, 2012 at 17:18 said:
ah the battered wife syndrome..gotcha!
Blantyretim,
Apologies. Gonna have to do a “token tim” tonight. Still in london and wont be home until 9ish. Ill pay for the ticket tho and if you know anyone who wants to go, please offer it to them.
Sanna
Joe Fill
It’s Doncaster who I most distrust. He seems to be unaware or willfuly ignoring public opinion in order to reinstate the huns.
I think he will do absolutely anything in order to have Rangers not only in the league but competing, in order for him to acheive his bonus.
googybhoy ♥ Celtic and Liquidation on May 25th. on 18 May, 2012 at 17:16 said:
Well those are my principles, and if you don’t like them… well, I have others.
Well, well.
Charles Green says contract with Craig Whyte to take his #Rangers shares will terminate if CVA can’t be agreed (@AlisonRobbie)
Been told Green was far from convincing in his meeting with the bares at ibrox yesterday.
Told them that in 5 years rangers would be more financially stable than Celtic and winning the League every season.
stupid huns…
Tim Malone Will Tell
that will be Patrick Campbell
Any CQN’ers in Barcelona?
Tomorrow night we will be in either Flaherty’s Irish bar in Plaza Joaquim Xirau for the Jambo’s v Hibbees
Basically down the bottom of Los Ramblas- left hand side of the street going towards the port, turn left where you see burger king on the corner.
Alternatively will be in an old haunt– Temple bar—- same side of Los Ramblas but turn left at Burger king and the bar is on your right hand side for Champions League final– then again I might not have moved at all.
Either way, ugly bloke, hooped shirt, green glasses, White snakeskin boots give it away!! Beer on me…..
Now I don’t want anyone thinking I spend all my time in pubs… but Obama’s bar is pretty good too– well it is a short stagger to my hotel so suits me to a tee.
Ernie Lynch
Chairman Mao funnier than Frankie Boyle…who’d a thunk?
Then again The Cultural Revolution was a barrel of laughs.