The Art of Winning an Unfair Game
After Neil Lennon resigned we discussed how Celtic have recently appointed managers to address the most glaring deficiency of the previous boss. Gordon Strachan bought in value markets, whereas Martin O’Neill pretty much bought players who appeared on Match of the Day or Sportscene.
Despite his success, Gordon was manager of Celtic, not the leader of the club; there was always some distance between him and a section of the support. As a consequence, we next appointed the guy who ‘invented’ the Celtic huddle.
Tony Mowbray was close to our hearts, but he was also a flop of a Celtic manager. People inside the club knew this from the first week he was there when he asked to spend close to £4m on Marc-Antoine Fortune.
Tony was out of sync with scouts and coaches. How do you fix that? You appoint one of the coaches who saw it all happen.
Neil Lennon didn’t have many obvious deficiencies. If we were to ask what his weakness was, there would be a range of answers.
Perhaps as a consequence, we’ve gone out with a clear remit: our manager should be intelligent, technically capable, insightful, and have a progressive and modern approach to the game. He must dovetail with the infrastructure we have worked so hard to build up, and be in tune with strategy.
All we know today is that the criteria for the job was correct and our man matches that criteria.
Ronny is one of the scientific innovators in the game who has had the ‘Moneyball’ tag applied. Back in 2009 I wrote about the books, Moneyball, and the football spin-off, Why England Lose (now re-launched as Soccernomics). I also put a copy of Why England Lose into the hands of a senior decision maker at the club.
The point about Moneyball and this type of analysis cannot be abbreviated in few short sentences, and it is certainly not as prosaic as ‘buying low and selling high’ – that’s old news now, which makes it a dead topic as far as Moneyball is concerned. The Michael Lewis book which did so much to publicise ‘sports economics’ was actually titled, Moneyball – The Art of Winning an Unfair Game.
The Art of Winning an Unfair Game
The game is unfair because others have more money, or more experience, or more sympathy with officials, or whatever your circumstances dictate. But most sports are also full of enormous inefficiencies.
Football clubs are hostages to ridiculous forces, just listen to the names within the game who urged Celtic to appoint a well-known name in order to put bums on seats. Some clubs do this – put a ‘name’ in, in the hope they sell some tickets, without realising there are enormously difficult football games ahead.
The football industry is top-heavy with fools with big budgets who don’t know what they are doing. Celtic’s job is to build a team who can compete at an ever-higher level in the Champions League. To get there we need a ruthless conviction against the inefficient nonsense which paralyses the rest of the game.
In 10 years I’ve never once agreed with a Celtic managerial appointment. I welcomed Gordon, Tony and Neil while saying the board have made the wrong decision. All of these appointments are risky, there are no guarantees – for short-term or long-term success. Guru managers don’t exist and Ronny has years of work ahead of him to build Celtic ever-higher, but I couldn’t be happier at his appointment. Eye on the prize…. it’s all about winning.
Welcome to Celtic, Ronny, you’re going to love it here, but keep your kilt on.
All of this and 300 Celtic fans at the CQN the Lisbon Lions gig in Greenock tonight! Hold me back!
Lladro replica World Cup trophy
My thanks to Liam, from East Kilbride, who donated his prize memento, a Lladro replica World Cup trophy, commissioned by the Spanish FA in 1978, and acquired by Liam in 1982. It will be auctioned on Saturday with proceeds going to our Mary’s Meals school kitchen appeal. You can get involved in the auction, or keep an eye on it as it happens, here. The auction takes place at Great Western Auctions, on Dumbarton Road.
Visit the CQN Bookstore to get Tommy Gemmell to sign your personal copy of his tome, All the Best.
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Afternoon CQN
Been reading articles and listening to Ronny Deila … Great potential .. Starts with a winning team and plenty of young players …
Ronny D will do for me ;)
I know we are all a little in the dark about Mr Deila.
The main piece of evidence we have is probably Stefan Johansen.
Remember when he first arrived ? He’d clearly came from a environment that demanded passion, effort and athleticism.
If I’m honest I’m not too sure if we had that in the camp at Celtic Park.
I watched Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich’s success in the CL the season before last. Both had that passion, effort and athleticism, allied to their obvious skill. It blew Barcelona and Real Madrid away. Innovation sometimes succeeds.
Let’s hope we have an innovator in Ronny Deila, it seems that way.
And that we, the support, have the patience and fortitude to try a new approach.
It may be exciting and who knows maybe even successful ?
https://twitter.com/CurlySportsFan/status/471548455731863552/photo/1
Love this Irn Bru advert
Kojo,
I found your posts about left handers in the past really funny, today’s topped it :)
Still, I don’t think left footers should take penalties, I always feel they’ll miss as someone on here previously commented on.
Statistics: don’t you luv ’em
Most success Celtic managers by win rate (excluding caretakers)
Martin O’Neill 75.53%
Neil Lennon 69.52%
Jock Stein 69.2%
John Barnes 65.51%
Gordon Strachan 65.19%
Willie Maley 64.75%
Wim Jansen 64.71%
Billy McNeill (1st time) 64.2%
new article posted.
Big horse day on the dry, bright, sunny and pleasant Easter seaboard.
California Chrome is favored to become the first horse in 36 years to complete the Triple Crown.
The horse faces a strong field this afternoon in the Belmont Stakes.
If you have access to a TV then I’d recommend taking an opportunity to watch, of only to see how awesome the weather is this weekend.
Ronny Deila looks like a good bit of business by Celtic, and we look forward to watching it play out in the coming seasons.
Success over the long term is based on sustaining good practices, but in the short term much of it turns on luck.
I don’t doubt Celtic will win the league this season, irrespective of how convincingly the team performs, but it’s in Europe where Ronny will get the first and most serious test of his credentials, and luck will play a part.
Consider Lenny: Having been papped out of both the Champions League and Europa League in the first qualifying rounds in season 1, he lost out to Sion in his second season only to be reinstated following a UEFA enquiry into the validity of the registrations of a number of Sion’s players.
That break ultimately allowed Lenny and his squad to learn the European game, and was instrumental in my view in his tenure being successful. Without Sion’s obtuseness, Lenny’s career would be entirely different.
The following year he delivered some remarkable results in the Champions League, the win over Barca being epochal in his career.
Equally, we often overlook how luck played a part in MON’s 2002/03 season. Having done highly creditably in his first Champions League campaign the previous season, his team went out to Basle in the qualifiers the following, Chris Sutton curling a chance marginally the wrong side of the post in the final minute.
Had Sutton scored, Seville would never have happened, and MON’s time at Celtic would be viewed through a different lens.
And let’s not forget the penalty we didn’t get v Milan in the closing minutes of the 2nd leg of the last 16 tie. Legitimate claim, clear foul, no award. Had the decision gone the other way, wee Gordon’s team would likely have qualified into the quarter finals, and we would all love him unconditionally.
Rambling way to say…
Ronny Deila: Good appointment long term. Short term, he’s going to need his lucky penny, his rabbit foot and a posy of white heather.
marspapa
12:38 on
7 June, 2014
Guys
Any chance we could stop using the name ” Retard in
The ” Daily Retard ” its a personal thing maybe i”m a wee bit sensitive , but surely there can be another word used in its place
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marsapa….I’m with you on this,feels uncomfortable.
:))