Not for the first time around Ibrox, we’re deep into denial territory than an insolvency incident is imminent. A whole load of irrelevant questions have been answered; they will not go into administration on ‘Sash Wednesday’, nor will a board meeting be convened today, but the pertinent question, whether club consultant Philip Nash, and director Graham Wallace, have held pre-administration talks, remains curiously unaddressed.
My information is that administration is only one of a number of options under consideration.
They have alternatives. A sale and leaseback of the stadium and (still magnificently named) Murray Park could provide the club with enough money to see them through until season ticket renewal time next year, when they have a chance of being in the Premiership. If it was your objective to maintain shareholder value, this must surely be considered. Cast your mind over what we know about the bulk of the shareholders and there should be no doubt about their priorities. These are not shareholders who will accept cumulative losses or even a pound-in-pound-out model.
They could continue to secure assets against borrowing from hedge fund-shareholders at an interest rate of 30%. This is an attractive return for a hedge fund. If they secure the stadium in return for a future loan they will be in a position to earn attractive returns from whichever club plays there for many years to come.
If you are a fan, or indeed, a director of Oldco, who set on a path to liquidation, this reality will feel intolerable. Those responsible for strategy, oversight and governance at Oldco set the wheels in motion; Newco’s burden is a consequence of Oldco trying to put their rivals in their place, and allowing the wolves in.
Intolerable though the situation may be, I’m not sure what can be done about it. Using season ticket sales to threaten to subvert the value of investments made by hedge funds, and shareholders who have made it their absolute priority to remain anonymous, is incredibly risky. Incredibly. Risky.
Here’s the question, are those anonymous investors likely to submit to threats, or are they the kind of people who can afford to play hardball and would raze the stadium to the ground rather than be bullied?
My guess is we are talking about hardnosed, wealthy individuals, who will forever remain anonymous and who have never been bullied by minority shareholder action in their lives. It’s easy to whip football fans into a pitchfork-esque revolt, 10 years of CQN has provided regular evidence of this (mostly over comparatively trivial misinformation), but if this was my club, I’d be going off my head at the behaviour of just about everyone involved and I don’t think I’d be able to sleep at night.
‘Seville’, the book detailing the incredible stories you, the Celtic support, experienced and set down on record, is out this month. To order your copy click on the link below.
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BSR…..nice to see the street so calm without a cavalry charge!
BBB
stevo –
The Ragged Trousered Philanthropists
by Robert Tressell.
bournesouprecipe @ 09:35
Thon’s a cracker.
Got any more like that … ?
FF
BOURNESOUPRECIPE
I get nostalgic sometimes for the old stadium,especially the floodlights. When I was a kid,the sight of them filled me with awe.
http://www.thecelticwiki.com/m/page/Celtic+Park+-+The+Floodlights
Ht@7:59 nail on head
God bless the bunnet.
http://youtu.be/B-dMLK5506M
Gold Coast Tom.
My wife has been encouraging me to have a read of Ms Tartt novels, I have just finished Steinbeck’s Grapes of Wrath.
What’s your view on John Updike?
HH
BSR
Ah, the ole Queen’s highway before Glasgow City Council’s dodgy land deals with Opus Dei, the Co-op Bank and wee Fergus.
King ‘summoned’ to Snake Mountain.
It’s usually ambassadors who are summoned by the Foreign Minister in order to receive a ‘dressing down’, not a ‘glib and shameless liar’ by a bunch of spivs.
HH!!
Gold Coast Tom
Thanks. I’ll get both of those ….. and report back :-)
Oldtim.
Just caught your post to me regards cqten tickets . Your arrangements for collection are fine by me , we will be up early so as not to keep you waiting . I only got a bit concerned as I read I think it was winning captains , who said if anyone didn’t,t receive there tickets to get in touch . As I said fair looking forward to it . See you then old friend .
KevJungle:
That post in isolation doesn’t mean much to me, it was part of my post that preceded it and the one that followed it too, I just broke of from a French lesson and read Fergus McCann’s interview and I just thought you’re missing the meaning of Celtic here mate, you’re missing the poverty aspect that has never left us and you’re forgetting what gives our club its pristine purity… your missing the poor and the family.
And then I just did what I often wish I didn’t, I just went off on one and clicked the keyboard without thinking. But I will tell you this KevJungle, never in my life have I felt so distant from Celtic. Never came close to feeling what I feel now, almost to the point where I question why I even bother bothering to click the keyboard anymore.
But I wanted to square things with GCT, so some good came from me taking a break from my French lesson.
King Allister has a meeting at the bottom of the marble staircase.
Tourtenay –
The Grapes of Wrath is a marvellous book. One of the most moving and uplifting endings I have ever read. Steinbeck was a masterful writer. HAve read quite a few of his works.
I haven’t read much Updike.
The Coup and The Witches of Eastwick is about it.
http://youtu.be/SO-2ZX3D7wE
Oops here it is, lol.
Happy Bunnet Day – with school for the nostalgists
viaHB
‘Drenchliting.’
-now available on 7″ coloured vinyl, for Leo Sayer completists.
https://www.facebook.com/CelticFC/posts/714403231932918:0
The man who saved Celtic .
TONY DONNELLY
King Allister,the sevco dream team. Magic…
Lots about Fergus: He did this; he built that; he achieved the next.
I think rather, just as Jimmy Rabbitte did with The Commitments, his singular achievement was…
…he raised our expectations. Lifted our horizons.
F#@$edIfIKnowTerryCSC
Feliz Dia Bunnet
kitalba
09:55 on 4 March, 2014
You are obviously a true Celt…..Hail Hail……it never leaves us…and you will never walk alone KTF!!………..(Just be wary of the wolf in sheep’s clothing, whom I wish was always away oot…)
Just catching up
Auldheid
You are a credit to yourself ,this blog and the celtic family.
Kitalba & GCT
Made my morning :))
Till later all
Now this Dave King was called too, but it’s a diff. Dave King , and notice what advice this Dave King gives the other Dave King at the end off the call, oh I know it sounds complicated, but list to it, guy gives good advice.
http://youtu.be/h4l-2cpyD_4
67Heaven:
I would not worry too much about KevJungle, he’s not going to bite you, but I think you’re wrong, I think it does leave you… in as much as you just can’t go on justifying your love and commitment to an entity that has replaced, and bears very little resemblance to the God’s creation that as a child enhanced you. Not in a pretence at the expense of your blood dependants.
Nash officially appointed Secretary but still no accounts! Get the feeling those accounts aren’t going to be needed? pic.twitter.com/jgI3sEIRM0
https://twitter.com/moo_ted/status/440785892656316416/photo/1
Or is it this King they have summond, oh I’m so confused :(
http://youtu.be/YD2v2AEodI8
Ernie Lynch 12.20
Strange point from you Ernie. Smacks of paranoia. The Mail depises David Cameron and friends. Did you not know that? They went for Dromey and other Labour figures because it is a significant story and also because they hate Labour. Quite simple. The story about the far Left’s historic desire to help perverts has not gone away. We will discover more.
leftclick
Kitalba & GCT
Made my morning :))
Absolutely mate, best news of the day……..couple of wallapers!
Magic Bhoys
AR
LiviBhoy – God bless wee Oscar
Wear something warm,the guy with hi-vis and ‘stairs this way ‘ sign,standing between us.
Hail hail.
Kit
Remember, it is Celtic who have changed, not you.
For me, Celtic is the “heart of a heartless society” and even though they may not be , I am OK with allowing them to be the manifestation of my security blanket.
JJ
Putin Press conference-journalists in front of him look terrified.
Paul,
How would a sale and leasback work in layman’s terms. What are the implications for Sevco with this option in the short, medium and long term
Thanks
Árd Macha
voguepunter
We not in the gazebo?
LB
Ryecatcher
I saw earlier you mentioning Peter Lawwell joining the European Clubs Association and asking about the merits of said institution.
Now whilst they are not the authority governing the game they are in fact the biggest lobby who influence the governors i.e. UEFA.
I think it no coincidence that in his interview on Saturday about McCann’s legacy PL mentioned the need to restore competition to our game.
Some folk thought that a reference to bringing back The Rangers (without hearing or reading what was said) but he was talking about the adverse effect that income distribution (mainly TV) was having on smaller countries like Scotland, living cheek by jowel with neighbours with a much larger market.
Thus his appointment to a position to influence debate in the ECA is significant in strategical terms. There are no guarantees but Scotland are not alone in being disadvantaged by the current distribution model, created by UEFA under pressure of the “big” clubs , so PL is not alone either.
This is where Celtic’s future will be decided and this is where Celtic need to have a strong voice. It is a very welcome development.
BOBBY MURDOCH’S CURLED-UP WINKLEPICKERS ………FC not PLC
09:42 on
4 March, 2014
BOURNESOUPRECIPE
I get nostalgic sometimes for the old stadium,especially the floodlights. When I was a kid,the sight of them filled me with awe.
http://www.thecelticwiki.com/m/page/Celtic+Park+-+The+Floodlights
Yep.Do you remember they used to have the lights on at about half power,then just before KO would turn them up full?.Got the same roar as the end of the Huddle does now.
When you were a kid,it WAS magical.
Árd Macha
11:03 on
4 March, 2014
I know you asked Paul but since nobody seems to be responding (and sorry if I get overly basic here).
So first up they might arrange the sale and leaseback let’s say for 10 years in the initial contract so the buyer buys for £15M and leases back for £2M/season – £20M so a tasty £5M profit . Usually there will be some kind of buy back clause as well, such that the owner still get’s their profit.
Short term – gets them out of a big hole and probably provides the excess cash they need to get to the SPL, assuming costs are cut.
Medium term – immediately removes a large chunk of their income, especially if Murray Park and Albion also end up going the same way. I’d say they could be looking at as much as 20% (more?) of ST income being accounted for straight off the bat if all properties end up being leased back.
Long term – you’re stuck tied into potentially more and more onerous contracts unless you can eventually buy the assets back. If there’s a boom in land prices they’re goosed.
Armageddon – the owner decides they want to sell the property,