Omission bias research and refs with grudges

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The SFA Head of Refereeing, John Fleming, spoke about the semi-final incident on Sunday, largely to protect his fraternity.  Referee Steven McLean made a huge error but Fleming said “I don’t think there was anyone in the ground who would have thought it was 100% a penalty and sending off until they had seen the replay.”

This flies in the face of the Celtic players who claimed for a penalty on the spot, the raised voices from thousands of Celtic supporters, and the shout from the TV commentator.  Fleming’s assertion is demonstrably untrue.

He is a man in a position of authority at the SFA.  He is allowed to have opinions, or to disagree with any club, but making untrue statements to protect his referees is a wholly inappropriate.  If is the standard referees are held to, no wonder we have problems.  Having asked for clarification on the refereeing error yesterday, I expect Celtic will be even keener on an explanation for Fleming’s incredulous comment.

I’ve linked here to a Stanford University report on Omission Bias in Sports.  The report finds that people are biased to favour inaction (i.e. don’t make a decision) over action (make a decision which will have a profound impact).

It’s an interesting concept which good refereeing guidance will account for.  They found that “For all sports, effect [is]stronger if game is close and weak when score is lopsided”.

Omission bias is what we should be looking for in Scottish football.  Evidence this video of former referee Kenny Clark, who while still officiating SPL games told an audience that he held a grudge against Celtic’s John Hartson and failed to award him a foul which he saw clearly enough to describe in some detail.

Unfortunately, no journalist has ever been able to contact Mr Clark to ask him about his grudges or omission bias.  If this was England, the media would not allow Clark to flaunt omission bias while defending it in others, he would be called to account.

See above, Sunday’s officials greeting each other on the pitch before kick off.  Before the dust settles on this one, some of us better learn a new handshake.  Those wanting real change at the SFA will have to fight for it.

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  1. !!Bada Bing!! on

    frannyb67

     

     

    19:52 on 21 April, 2015

     

     

    So meekings is distraught

     

    Good ya cheating hun bassa

     

    I hope Yogi and ICT kick up merry hell over this, the more the cheats get questioned by all parties the better, Meekings is a convenient scapegoat for the scandal on Sunday.HH

  2. !!Bada Bing!! on

    MWD-Would be simple for a lipreader to look at the footage, if it was the huns, the SMSM would have it sorted for them by now.HH

  3. who ever it was Said Iniesta is The Best player in The world on here to Me….I salute You…Frikin Awesome..

  4. ....PFayr supports WeeOscar on

    Meekings…I hope ICT run this the whole way

     

     

    Meetings is a pro who committed a professional foul

     

     

    McLean is a cheat…he should be removed from his post

     

     

    Meetings cops it …the real culprit gets away

     

     

    Sickening …I only hope this isn’t over

  5. ....PFayr supports WeeOscar on

    67 heaven

     

     

    That’s the first thing to cheer me up since Sunday

     

     

    Btw ..I’m in Tenerife and the Mrs is fed up with my moaning to her about the sfa etc

     

     

    Think I’ll have a wee vino …

     

     

    HH

  6. Re Phil’s claim on Res 12. I’m very sceptical. Celtic confirmed they sent the letter to the SFA so I’ll await confirmation they have done so with UEFA.

  7. Delaneys Dunky on

    BGX

     

     

    I told you that after you said Ronaldo was. That was sublime from wee Andy there.

  8. Good evening all.

     

     

    A bit sad with some posts tonight, but what I will say, Celtic will be here in 100 yrs time, and I hope we will still enjoy the success we love today. I will be 169 yrs of age by then, and I bet we are still CHAMPIONS. The Huns, HISTORY. Fekkin good enough for the dross. COYBIG.

     

     

    Weefra HH praying to Wee Oscar.

  9. theglasgowcelticway on

    The audacity of Meetings.He cheats to get his team into the final and is affronted when retrospective action is taken.

     

     

    Bayern 3-0

  10. blantyretim is praying for the Knox family on

    Praceapta

     

    U multitasking with TV and laptop

     

     

    PF

     

    Tell the mrs to refrain on the pics please

  11. Craigellachie10 on

    Iniesta is obviously finished. Time for him to face facts and wind down in a Mickey Mouse league in north west Europe.

  12. ....PFayr supports WeeOscar on

    BT

     

     

    I had no mind of it

     

     

    She was fed up that I insisted on continuing drinking , listening to music thro my headphones and singing

     

     

    A wee bit of pay back ….nasty

  13. Sad to see Barcelona reduced to a shadow of what they were, apparently, according to, um, the SMSM…

  14. 67Heaven .. CHALLENGING THE LIE ..I am wee Oscar...... Ipox belongs to the creditors on

    ….pfayr supports weeoscar

     

     

    20:08 on 21 April, 2015

     

     

    Enjoy, my mhan…..!!!!!! ….and don’t let the barstewards get to you…….and we’ll fight them for 800 more….

  15. Craigellachie10 on

    The SFA will believe they have played a blinder today. By citing Meekings they subliminally are indicating that this is their appeasement to Celtic. That will bring even more ill feeling towards our club with the bonus of allowing McLean to come up with the ‘I didn’t see anything’ excuse.

     

     

    Meekings will then appeal and the old Not Proven verdict will be trotted out. Meekings back in final probably with McLean as fourth official. Everybody happy! :(

  16. ….pfayr supports weeoscar

     

     

    From the photo I saw and what I read it wasn’t your moaning about the cheats FA she was fed up hearing, just saying…:)

     

     

    Keep the Faith!

     

     

    Hail Hail!

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