Omission bias research and refs with grudges

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The SFA Head of Refereeing, John Fleming, spoke about the semi-final incident on Sunday, largely to protect his fraternity.  Referee Steven McLean made a huge error but Fleming said “I don’t think there was anyone in the ground who would have thought it was 100% a penalty and sending off until they had seen the replay.”

This flies in the face of the Celtic players who claimed for a penalty on the spot, the raised voices from thousands of Celtic supporters, and the shout from the TV commentator.  Fleming’s assertion is demonstrably untrue.

He is a man in a position of authority at the SFA.  He is allowed to have opinions, or to disagree with any club, but making untrue statements to protect his referees is a wholly inappropriate.  If is the standard referees are held to, no wonder we have problems.  Having asked for clarification on the refereeing error yesterday, I expect Celtic will be even keener on an explanation for Fleming’s incredulous comment.

I’ve linked here to a Stanford University report on Omission Bias in Sports.  The report finds that people are biased to favour inaction (i.e. don’t make a decision) over action (make a decision which will have a profound impact).

It’s an interesting concept which good refereeing guidance will account for.  They found that “For all sports, effect [is]stronger if game is close and weak when score is lopsided”.

Omission bias is what we should be looking for in Scottish football.  Evidence this video of former referee Kenny Clark, who while still officiating SPL games told an audience that he held a grudge against Celtic’s John Hartson and failed to award him a foul which he saw clearly enough to describe in some detail.

Unfortunately, no journalist has ever been able to contact Mr Clark to ask him about his grudges or omission bias.  If this was England, the media would not allow Clark to flaunt omission bias while defending it in others, he would be called to account.

See above, Sunday’s officials greeting each other on the pitch before kick off.  Before the dust settles on this one, some of us better learn a new handshake.  Those wanting real change at the SFA will have to fight for it.

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  1. Only way Meekings will not get banned is if McClean and Muir say they saw it and deemed it not a pen,

     

    If they missed it its a red card for the boy,

     

    one guess at how this will pan out

  2. theglasgowcelticway on

    The more they explain the worse it gets.None of the officials saw the incident so Meekings will miss the final.None of the three officials in the area who’d clear views saw the handball??? None of them???

     

    Lies lies and damned SFA.

  3. GlassTwoThirdsFull on

    Ronny Deila has opted for a 4-3-3 formation v Dundee. The midfield three will be Nir Bitton, Scott Brown and Stefan Johansen. The front three will be Leigh Griffiths.

  4. Ask Walter why he named Mr MURPHY the linesman that wrongly called an offside in the deadco V Motherwell game LIVE ON TV.

  5. bournesouprecipe on

    In fairness to ole daft Shugster he also said McLean and his assistants should stand down until the end of the season.

  6. So the reptile smith thinks we dont need a letter, the same guy who named a linesman with an Irish sounding name,why did he do that? Its not the lie that gets you its the cover up, the SFA and their blind officials are to a man in my opinion cheats

  7. !!Bada Bing!! on

    theglasgowcelticway -as in the Guidetti nonsense,when in a hole they keep digging SFA style……amateurs from top to bottom

     

    Barry Hearn nailed them all a couple of months ago.

  8. bournesouprecipe on

    Paul Hartley has confirmed he wants to give the LG semi final hand ball controversy a wide berth.

  9. theglasgowcelticway on

    bournesouprecipe

     

     

    Aye, that’s because it’s job done for them.

     

     

    Think he wants them to have a well deserved holiday.

  10. Dontbrattbakkinanger on

    Shortbread still runnin’ with the hoopslegend Leigh Griffiths causin’ more blindness than the ole Night of the Triffids theory.

  11. glendalystonsils on

    Leigh Griffiths denies his part in any altercation coming out of the Hampden tunnel for the second half.

     

    ‘I didnae use the tunnel, I slid down the slipway’ he told reporters.

  12. Classic SFA deflection tactic – banning the player retrospectively. Media now have a further reason to kick Celtic for having the temerity to ask the SFA for an explanation.

  13. Wee Burchill does not think it was deliberate but it was a penalty and a sending off. Head scratching, how do they select these eijits

  14. theglasgowcelticway on

    Sportsound have the compliance officer on who’s just explained that Meekings would be facing this whether Celtic had asked for clarification or not.

  15. GlassTwoThirdsFull on

    Lunny – there could be an argument over whether the ball was going into the net or not.

     

    This gets worse!

  16. theglasgowcelticway on

    Meetings is out because it would take an official to admit he saw it, whether it was a goal scoring opportunity or deliberate handball.

     

     

    Asked if this is pandering to Celtic? No this would have happened.

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