Newco’s remarkable run of penalty kicks, given and not received, has been covered far better than I have elsewhere, so I will not dig into the main issue today. What we need to concern ourselves with it that penalty kicks is one of their main sources of wins in domestic football.
This is a jeopardy Celtic will have to prepare for on Sunday. Any time they have or challenge for possession inside our box is an opportunity to win a spot kick. They will try. Maintaining a defensive line outside the box hugely reduces Newco’s threat by a significant margin.
Their win over Hibernian on Saturday prevented a third straight home defeat (Motherwell and Benfica were the previous two). That steadied the nerves for a side who had not won without the benefit of a two-man advantage or a penalty kick (they received one and missed against Hibs) since February.
Pundits can be heard saying this is the most important derby in a which feels curious to Celtic fans. We’ll let the Newco/Oldco confusion slip for now. The other lot are feeling it more than we are because Clement is on a precipice between gaining a valuable advantage late in the season or seeing his reputation go the way it did at Monaco.
Their fans feel this, while they worry about the return of Callum McGregor, who alongside Kyogo, they respect more than any Celtic player in recent times. The supreme confidence Celtic faced at Ibrox in September has been replaced by a faux bravado. Five minutes of good Celtic possession and that will switch to pressure on the home side.
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AULDHEID on 4TH APRIL 2024 3:57 PM
that is an excellent piece of work.
i look forward to seeing the full data set and table, i am going to guess that rather than lesseing the outlier stat, it will be further and further out of line over the 5-6 year period.
quite incredible actually, takew the name off it, and apply it to science or finances, ouliers like that would be investigated to the nth degree so as to dismiss them from the study.
stats are us.
and and, who remembers twice in the eighties and ninties when we went whole seasons without a penalty awarded.
Bhoyjoebelfast
You ought to see the other three drunken ramblers. 🤣
mon the auldheid
AULDHEID on 4TH APRIL 2024 3:21 PM
Yet one more indication something is rotten in the state of Hampden.
https://sportrxiv.org/index.php/server/preprint/view/365/744
Fundamental change to the structure of referee administration has to be made.
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Brilliant stuff Audlheid!
Just sent it to every football fan I know.
Surely the SFA can’t keep getting away with this now that the data is out there?
However, I feel Crawford Allan will go out with a bang. He should’ve been sacked on the spot. As he will not be accountable for any cheating from now until the season’s end.
Can’t believe Celtic are ok with him remaining in post until the end of the season.
BRRB @4:14
Remember the old saying.
One tequila,two tequila, three tequila FLOOR.
And again
Bhoyjoebelfast
🤣
AULDHEID on 4TH APRIL 2024 3:21 PM
Do you have access/link to the full data so we can see the trend rather than that one season in isolation when though the stats for that season are compelling on their own.
The Donegal Rebels on tour.
Davy, BRRB, Tam, Brian M.
https://photos.app.goo.gl/MCQSbvHu3c2csbd59
john, is that a bar you are in ?
St Stiv’s
“john, is that a bar you are in ?”
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There’s absolutely no need for such a scurrilous suggestion being made towards a fellow CQNr😀
Teac Jacks is a local hostelry, a brasserie, if you like. Many of my relatives have been drunk and incapable within its walls but I have always maintained a cognitive stance in a gutter nearby.
How did dignified get changed to cognitive?
Spell check must be drunk.
SETTING FREE THE BEARS FOR RES. 12 & OSCAR KNOX on 4TH APRIL 2024 5:24 PM
St Stiv’s
“john, is that a bar you are in ?”
——————————–
There’s absolutely no need for such a scurrilous suggestion being made towards a fellow CQNr😀
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Brilliant! 😂😂😂👍
Kelvinbhpy
I don’t and turns out this paper is unpublished with an error that might alter conclusion. Handle with care.
Melvin Udall
Turns out this paper is unpublished with an error that might alter conclusion. Handle with care.
St Stivs
SFTB
Melvin Udall
🤣🤣🤣🤣
Auldheid
My letter in support of the proposed resolution for referee reform with has been sent to Celtic plc.
That is really disappointing that there is an error, could it not be corrected and then used to progress a case against clear bias?
More than one in four payments made last year were contactless.
This is also true of the penalties awarded to The Rangers.
Bias
noun
a particular tendency, trend
Auldheid – thank you for link to statistical analysis.
Had a glance. I look forward to reading in more depth later this evening.
Personally I’m chuffed with the direction of travel of this debate.
It is gaining broader prominence and attention.
VERY intelligently, it is moving away from perception and emotion (which can mask multiple human biases) towards the statistical, factual and evidential.
“No axe to grind” territory.
AULDHEID on 4TH APRIL 2024 5:28 PM
Melvin Udall
Turns out this paper is unpublished with an error that might alter conclusion. Handle with care.
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Regardless, we all know most of it is true, which cannot be disputed.
However it is cut, they get too many penalties awarded and concede too few for it to be an anomaly.
Spreading the word is the start of putting these cheats in the spotlight.
Let’s keep it up.
Weather forecast looking grim for Dundee.
There’s a chance Sevco have erred by not playing tonight.
Might not happen next Wednesday.
If you will, cast your minds back to 2008.
Oldco wanted a week’s extension to the league to accommodate their fixture pile up.
They got an extension but not the full week.
A key reason, which Celtic pushed and pushed, was their own decision to postpone a league game to a time that suited.
They wanted (and were granted) a clear week to prep for a game against a good team (Lyon).
Epilogue: The free week didn’t do a bit of good. They came up against a superior outfit who they actually thought they’d beat at Ibrox ….
… and lost 0-3.
🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔
BACK TO BASICS – GLASS HALF FULL on 4TH APRIL 2024 6:51 PM
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Spot-on! 😃👍
Am tryin to stay aff the booze and was swithering whether to go out for the game on Sunday or order it on Now TV for £11.99 for the 24 hour pass.
However, I feel we will win, unless cheated and will be heading to Fitzgerald’s in Liverpool. An amazing wee Celtic pub.
Any Tims in Liverpool for the game, get yerself along. Brilliant atmosphere and live music afterwards (rebs of course). 😃👍🇮🇪🍀⚽️
bus glaschu is on bbc alba right this moment, first off the buss is packy bonnar, carrying a small suitcase, but then he dropped it
Celtic supporters recognize a perceived bias in Scottish football and it leaves us angry, sore and perplexed? No referee passes muster and this has been the case for as long as I can remember. Should that really be surprising because ‘we’ (Celtic, Catholic & Irish) are very much in the minority in the country – <15% in the last census?
Referees and their bosses are called out for their Masonic Lodge, Orange Order ties, and if some are from a Catholic/Celtic background, then they have been ‘got at’, or, have resorted to being ‘Uncle Tom’s, in order to save their jobs.
I do not believe there is formal institutionalized, ‘set- in stone’ campaign against Celtic, however I do believe that there is bias displayed by certain referees, in certain games, at certain times. Of course VAR should redress the balance in almost all cases, but the VAR itself is not immune.
We all develop preconceived and learned bias in our childhood and this affect how an individual treats and interacts with others around them. This can be called an implicit bias. Implicit bias, is a negative attitude, of which one is not consciously aware, against a specific social group. I believe that this is what skews on-field decisions in our games against Rangers, or, indeed, games involving Celtic and opposition outwith the Ibrox club. It is akin to conditioning and will result in some referees in games involving Rangers to unconsciously favour them when making critical decisions.
John Beaton I think is a prime example here. I have been satisfied with the vast majority of his officiating, but of course there have been times, at crucial moments, when he has blatantly favoured the Ibrox club over Celtic. I don’t think that he can help it, anymore than if I, brought up in the Celtic family with all my own biases, was the whistler in his position.
This weekend will be a testing-ground – will we see examples of implicit bias on Sunday…and will it materially affect the outcome? If I was a betting man I’d say yes, and I think TavPen would attract my cash.
Just a postscript to the HATE law debate -there is hate overtly displayed on our streets by the Orange Order in numerous marches through the summer in Scotland. If ScotGov really wanted to make an immediate and telling impact on attitudes of hatred in Scotland, these marches could be banned & binned forthwith – the good people around Stonehaven did it without too much fuss, why not the most powerful devolved government in the world?
for those in donegal today – find out why mcginalys busses have livery of orange and blue, whits that all aboot
By the way – I am not suggesting that JohnBeaton was unconcious whilst drinking in The Crown – well at least not when the photo was taken!!!!
mccoist was in the toilet with his mouth open dribbling about wanting to know the names of the photographers
where do they live says yerman mccoist
Stivs, the outright sectarianism of the 70’s and 80’s has died out
Of that there is no doubt
The problem we have now is when there are large groups with memory of the 70’s and 80’s
Very quickly they are up to their knees for 90 mins
(and not just at the games, defo marches etc etc)
Vehmently anti catholic/celtic as a group
And then they go home, and wash themselves of till the next game
Reckon SFA have scored a massive own goal by appointing Cheating Beaton on Sunday.
Also , I think there is more gravitas about our urge to have the cheating examined elsewhere.
\let the world sing
KingLuBo
Clemente’s tactical talk this week; keep running- go over if you can- ignore the weird tifo – maeda can run like fugg, don’t forget about him
And at the same time
After a European game in Mollys I would shout and sing stuff that no where else would I do that
And no where else would it cross my mind to do that
Big steps have been made in the last 40/50 years
In another 50 maybe (hopefully) it will be just football and not based in religion….
got to feel sorry for the sheffield united fans
their team just missed a sitter in the first couple of minutes at anfield which would have given them a proper reason to go mental to get some of their moneys-worth.
they will now have to console themselves with some polite applause when they score a 90th minute consolation when 6-0 down.
Auldheid at 5.27 pm .
Aye , Celtic’s P value is reported as 0.008 which is also lower than the standard significance level of 0.05 😕