Rangers: what next chapter holds

710

Duff and Phelps will be in possession of final bids for the Rangers tomorrow and soon thereafter will formally select a preferred bidder.  Liquidation, what you have known to be inevitable for many months, has now formally been acknowledged as a possibility by each bidder.

Duff and Phelps have enough cash to keep the club operating until the verdict of the big tax case, which is expected this month.  If Rangers achieve a substantial victory from the First Tier Tribunal they have a fighting chance of survival.  If they incur a substantial loss, The Rangers Football Club established in 1893 and incorporated as a limited company in 1899, will almost certainly cease to exist soon thereafter.  All shareholders will lose their rights and notional value.  Unsecured creditors will take an enormous bath and the secured creditor will acquire Ibrox and Murray Park.

Craig Whyte is, of course, secured creditor and majority shareholder in Rangers, so although some creditors and shareholders face wipe-out, he will emerge with the stadium, giving him an excellent opportunity to form a new football club.

He also has the burden of a liability to Ticketus, to whom he has underwritten payment for the tickets they purchased last year.  So any new club to emerge from this debacle has to be designed by Whyte and Ticketus or acknowledge the rights of both.  I am ignoring reports today that Whyte may hand over his shares in Rangers for nothing if it was in the best interests of the club.

With fresh investment capital likely to be at a premium, a deal which excludes ownership of the stadium is likely to generate most for the unsecured creditors.  Whyte could retain ownership of the stadium and offer Newco a 99 year lease.  This would enable him to receive a suitable return for his year’s work and ensure he has the ability to accommodate Ticketus.  It would also allow Duff and Phelps to offer HMRC and other creditors the bulk of whatever cash is on offer from the organisation bidding to run Newco.

It will be interesting to see what the preferred bid looks like but leaving Ibrox with Whyte has an irresistible look to it.

Newco will play in blue jerseys but the differences between it and Rangers will soon become apparent.  Income for years ahead will not enable them to employ footballers on the kind of money Rangers have employed for the last 20 years.  Even if they are able to acquire Rangers player registrations those on premium money will have to be sold, generating an early cash bonus for the new entity.

If the Blue Knights gain control I expect a reasonably cash neutral forward plan but if an outside investor concludes a deal with Whyte and Ticketus, in particular one who advertise themselves as a joint venture between investment capitalists and a merchant bank, you can expect an onerous return on capital to be extracted from Newco in sunshine or in shadow.

There will be many shadows.

Arguments about which league Newco will play in and an appropriate penalty for any transfer of player registrations, how the SFA punish an insolvent Rangers for Lord Nimmo Smith’s findings, what they do if Duff and Phelps acknowledge void player registrations over many years, or what the SPL do about the same issue remain to be resolved.

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  1. BOBBY MURDOCH'S CURLED-UP WINKLEPICKERS on

    AWE NAW 1508

     

     

    Canny think of anyone down here with that name,though I know a few back home.

  2. Raman Bhardwaj ‏ @STVRaman Reply Retweet Favorite · Open

     

    Administrators also reveal they have spoken to SFA, SPL and UEFA re consequences of a newco

     

    ============================

     

    Maybe the SFA, SPL & UEFA could issue a statement detailing to the rest of us what these consequeneces are! Is it a secret, only to be shared by some secret society, prhaps?

  3. FF hilarious. Jumping with joy at news Blue Knights were getting shares as it broke via BBC and STV. Now that both organisations are back tracking you “cannot believe anything these taigs tell you”

  4. BOBBY MURDOCH'S CURLED-UP WINKLEPICKERS on

    RAYMAC 1510

     

     

    The original charge for the alleged chant could have been overturned by a first-year law student.

     

     

    I could have done it myself,ffs,but it suited certain people to have the fans nailed.

     

     

    “See what happens,ya buncha bad boys?”

     

     

    Instead of protecting the club’s good name,they decided to burden us with,officially,a worse recent record than the huns.

     

     

    Aye,Peter,that worked well.

  5. Confused now.

     

     

    Is the Louden a sausage?

     

     

    A links course that is nowhere near the sea?

     

     

    Declan. As in (missing) link?

     

     

    Or a watering cesspit for orc like demons?

  6. to tell you the truth ,im getting a bit fed uhp with this rangers stuff, i dont give 2 hoots who is going to own them.i just like to talk celtic

  7. What comes after Tragedy? Farce. After Farce? Mirth. After Mirth?

     

    Jelly & Ice Cream.

     

    Afternoon!

  8. any dates yets for games after the split..got a text saying Rangers on 29th April..

  9. Auld Neil Lennon heid @ 14.41

     

     

    I don’t know whether we can have much faith in UEFA. Their perception is probably that Scotland needs its 2 big clubs. Anyway I don’t think they can do anything unless they are approached by the administrators or until a decision is made in Scotland on the future of RFC(IA).

     

     

    If the administrators publicly state that they are in talks with SFA, SPL and UEFA, then I believe Celtic should issue an appropriate statement.

  10. The Spirit of Arthur Lee on 3 April, 2012 at 15:12 said:

     

    OG

     

    Is Whyte sending the emails to Thomo?

     

     

    No he has a direct line with Declan. It turns out Declan is RTC.

     

     

    He has just been dos attacked on his twat account.

  11. Disnae take long for the hordes on FF tae buckle up their Stormtrooper jackboots again. Wan scrap ah good news n their aff marching to the sound of the big tribal drum…like ants on a pendulum.

  12. BOBBY MURDOCH'S CURLED-UP WINKLEPICKERS on

    DJBEE 1517

     

     

    Apologies,mate.

     

     

    It’s a golf course beside Galston in Ayrshire.

     

     

    Loudoun Gowf Club,est 1909.

     

     

    Just a wee Ayrshire in-joke-we’re a strange bunch,doncha know!

  13. O.G.Rafferty

     

     

    Any idea if AT will go after the real villan of the piece, minty.

     

     

    Or has minty still got the power to scare off the likes of C4 ?

     

     

    This is a man who has defrauded the taxpayer and football clubs out of hundreds of millions, the more you steal, the less chance of getting caught it seems.

  14. Awe_Naw_No_Annoni_Oan_Anaw_Noo on

    79caps

     

     

    Duff & Phelps are managing rfcIA they are entitled to speak to SFA, SPL and UEFA.

     

     

    These three organisations must offer guidance. Expert opinion on what their constitutions are.

     

     

    Nothing more nothing less.

     

     

    Hail Hail

  15. Awe Naw

     

    I was thinking along the lines of.

     

    eg Ticketus £40m + Close Bros £10m+other football clubs (D.Utd,Hearts etc) £5m

     

    Then,IF HMRC (excl BTC) are £15m,then HMRC’s % would be less than 25% of the total.

     

    My question is,under such circumstances (IF MY NUMBERS AND ASSUMPTIONS ARE CORRECT) can HMRC still veto a CVA move despite having less then 25%?

     

    This on the basis that they are HMRC and can choose to do so.

     

    Hopefully that is a bit clearer and also that,if neccessary,HMRC will torpedo any chance of it happening

  16. BT,hope so,we thought it would be mid-week,meaning us missing out..is that a bank holiday weekend?

  17. Could we pull an ace out the sleeve this weekend by playing Ibrahim, Geough or Paddy…maybe even give Paul George or Tony Watts a game. The team does look a little jaded. An injection of freshness and a mercurial unknown quantity might work ala Ibrahim?

  18. coorslad..

     

     

    don’t think so, they took it off us to give us 2 days the following week…

  19. 29th would I believe be when the Thai Tims are in Glasgow..

     

     

    can’t see the SPL allowing the kids to eperiance that mob

  20. that chris mcglaughlins a right twonk aint he.

     

     

    believes any old tosh hes spoon fed.

     

    im sure journalists used to check what they were being spun before they spouted

  21. tigertim

     

    Until recently I was also assured Ticketus weren’t considered creditors (in fact they said so themselves).However,I picked up the notion they were now considered creditors after their court case v. D&P due to a nuance in Scots Law.

     

    Perhaps yourself or others can put me right on this.

  22. “Steal a little and they throw you in jail..”

     

    “Steal a lot and they make you a king.” (Bob Dylan)

     

    Maybe that’s why Minty’s a smug git…thinks he’s above the law. And the way it is in Scotland these days,maybe he’s on to something…like,”on the square”,”on the level” and other assorted ‘witticisms’ from a ludge near you.

  23. medtim – D&P have the right to make them creditors by ripping up the contract. That decision will be taken likely via a bid condition by whomever gets the dubious honour of being allowed 2 weeks look at their books

  24. johann murdoch on

    I genuinely believe that with the calibre of the people in charge at the SFA/SPl they havent got a clue what to do at the [sweet song?] after all it wasnt so long ago Wiggy was appointed head honcho and hence the recent appearance of Lord Nimmo also.

     

    Its more like a scene from dads army with them all running about shouting “dont panic,dont panic”

  25. coorslad

     

    Im sure the good people off Doire will not be celebration the jubilee, we have been forced to take the folowing week..

  26. O.G.Rafferty on

    THE EXILED TIM, 15:22

     

    It’s an interview with Whyte today. Time for other players later

     

     

    BobbyRussell, 15:30

     

    Online blog, not a TV piece

  27. Awe_Naw_No_Annoni_Oan_Anaw_Noo on

    As an interesting aside has anyone ever managed to contact the ECA on any matter whatsoever ?

     

     

    I have tried email, telephone and letter regarding John Mc lelland being such an influential member of their board and I have not had one response in 6 months.

     

     

    I have never managed to get anyone on the telephone … ever .. in 6ix months

     

     

    And three letters is sent via traditional mail … not one of them answered

     

     

    And a very simple question was being asked as well.

     

     

    Can anyone tell me who represents Celtic at the ECA … maybe they can put me in touch with someone within this organisation that we are a member of.

     

     

    Interestingly there are only four Scottish members soon to be three

     

     

    Hail Hail

  28. Awe Naw @ 15.23

     

     

    Yes, but the crucial point is surely whether they are talking about readmission of a newco. If they say that is the case and we hear nothing from the SFA, SPL and UEFA, then surely Celtic must issue a statement.

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