Summer 23 Transfer Window assessment

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In a busy transfer window, Celtic signed nine new players and sold four from the first team squad.  Central defence saw two planned arrivals: Maik Nawrocki (22) and Gustaf Lagerbielke (23), and the departure of Carl Starfelt (28).  Starfelt’s two-year partnership with Cameron Carter-Vickers was remarkably successful.  They only once experience defeat in a domestic game when paired together and that was after extra-time.

There are great hopes for Nawrocki and Lagerbielke but injuries to the former, as well as Carter-Vickers, saw emergency loanee Nat Phillips (26) arrive from Liverpool.  Nat and Gustav will be at the heart of the defence when we open for Champions League duty next week, barring further drama!

The wings saw Jota (24) leave for Arabia for an eye-watering £25m, pushing through the ceiling established by Kieran Tierney.  Sead Haksabanovic (24) went on load to Stoke.  One was always first choice; one was always a late throw of the dice.  Some of Jota’s goals were of a standard we have not seen at Celtic in many years, he scored in big games too and is a player you will talk about for decades.

Three wingers came in.  Hyun-jun Yang (21) arrived from Korea and has made the biggest impact so far, which is remarkable for one so young and so far from home.  It is clear he enjoys taking-on a defender and is someone who will make things happen.

Australian Marco Tilio (21) came in early in the window, but injury means he has still to make his debut.  Like Yang, he mostly plays on the right.  On the left, Ecuadorian Luis Palma (23) came in late August, too soon to be involved at the weekend, but he is fit and ready for action.  The fee paid for Luis was a just a shade below the €5m top figure we paid this window for Nawrocki.  An indication, perhaps, that he is most likely to fill the Jota shaped hole.

Central mid saw the retirement of Aaron Mooy (32).  He was with us for only a season, during which he was injured for a lengthy period and benched for many games, he nonetheless left an important gap in the squad.

In came Norwegian Odin Thiago Holm (20), the youngest of the signings.   At this age, Odin’s best position is still under review.  I expect to see him tried in the box-to-box role as well as in a more advanced position, if not eventually moving back, as his captain did.

So far, the most apt observation I have for Odin is ‘attitude’.  He is here to make an impact and wasted no time at Ibrox on Sunday.  Moments after he arrived, he carried the ball 15 yards before getting a shot on target.  The early signs are encouraging.

Can we do another ‘Jota’ on Benfica?  Paulo Bernardo (21) came in on a loan-with-option-to-buy deal.  Celtic were very keen to get this one over the line. Like Jota two years ago, the club sees a high upper potential here.

The one player who looks like a punt in the dark is Hyeok-kyu Kwon (22).  The defensive mid joins after making an impact in the Korean second tier.  Callum McGregor is perhaps the fittest player we have ever had at Celtic.  Kwon may have a frustrating wait, alongside Tomoki Iwata, for gametime.

We are familiar seeing Celtic sub out both wingers during the game, with Maeda, Palma, Abada, Yang, Tilio and Forrest, this will continue.  It is more common to swap out only one central mid.  With Hatate, O’Riley, Turnbull, Holm, Bernado all available to fill the two slots in front of Callum McGregor, this is about to change.

Coaches are still getting their heads around how best to use their five substitute options.  Throwing on two fresh wingers after an hour and a change of striker was the first iteration of change.  Expect experimentation in the middle of the park this season.

By any measure, the success of this transfer window has yet to be determined – it is truly insane to suggest otherwise (apologies to the many who left a self-identifier to this effect).  I hear very, very, good things about Nawrocki.  Holm, Bernardo, Tilio, Yang, Palma and Lagerbielke were all top targets, which is preferable to sliding down the list in the final days.

We took in around £30m and spent an estimated £19m on transfer fees.  Wage packets for the arrivals will be heavier than the leavers took home.  This is your annual reminder that wages and transfer spend both come out of income, feel free to howl disagreement in the direction of the moon.

If we wanted to just compete with Newco, like them, we would have signed players in their mid-20s, less risky but with less potential.  If, however, we want to make significant leaps forward in Europe, we need to follow another route.

Find, sign and develop players with high upper potential.  Get them in the team, improve them and if you get it right, you have a chance.  This is the only game in town for Celtic, we are wasting opportunity doing anything else.

It is clear what Celtic tried to achieve in this window.  We have established a recruitment model that brought players from across the globe.  We offer first-team domestic and Champions League football to players in their early 20s.  Our pitch is that they get to earn well, win trophies and have a platform to hopefully build a great career.

There will be Kilmarnock-shaped bumps along the way.  We need to be able to cope with them without self-indulgent flagellation.  Football fans have been coping with defeats since the game began, don’t lose sight of this among all our silverware, it’s not a good look.

Neither is the invective expressed because we didn’t strengthen every position.  This never happens – anywhere!  One more thought.  This is an easy article to write after Sunday, when pennies dropped across the country.  The window would have been no less valid had the Roofe ‘goal’ been permitted and the result gone the other way.

Watch across the city as fans tear their club apart.  Football is a more difficult business than any of the experts who have achieved nothing in the game believe.  If you think spending money on a player is an absolutely obvious thing for Celtic to do, and you know we have the money, but that deal does not happen, it is not because you are wise, and Celtic are led by fools.  It might just be that you are missing insight (I’m being very polite here).

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  1. Prestonpans bhoys on

    I too enjoyed the contributions from Edward Ursus. Can’t remember when he stopped posting but if it was after liquidation then he might be one of those who don’t believe in the survival myth, as a result he knows he’s not watching the real Rangers. I know a few who are in that mindset 🤔 not been back since…..

  2. Back to Basics - Glass Half Full on

    Just putting uninformed nonsense out there.

     

     

    – sell 31 year old Mo Salah for €200m

     

     

    – suck it for a season while not in Champions League

     

     

    – sign 25 year old Kylian Mbappe on a free in June

     

     

    Would you be tempted?

  3. Didn’t John James (whoever he is) write on an ongoing basis about an Edward Ursus who resided in the Chilterns ?

     

    No doubt purely coincidental .

     

    Oh and Ron B , hoping you get well soon .

  4. I should clarify , the John James Edward Ursus was a fictional character .

     

    I think a lot of John James’ writing was fiction 🤪

  5. Study shows just how well Celtic is run

     

    By justanordinarybhoy 7 September, 2023

     

     

     

    A recent study revealed that Celtic were in the top 50 of football clubs in the world when it comes to making a profit in the past decade.

     

     

    The Hoops were the only top flight club in the UK to make a profit, and only one of three along with English Championship sides Norwich and Swansea.

  6. Uncle Jimmy

     

     

    “It is my opinion that the team which started the season was weaker than that which finished last season.

     

     

    Last seasons team won a treble”

     

    ——————————-

     

     

    Of course this team has fewer achievements than last year and, no matter what they do, they cannot win a treble now.

     

     

    so, obviously they’ve achieved less after 4 league games, 0 SC ties and 1 LC tie, than the team who played 38 league games, 4 SC ties and 4 LC ties.

     

     

    But are they obviously poorer than the team of last year after 4 games and one LC tie? Well, they’re out of the LC for a start- so they’ve achieved less so you have some evidence on your side.

     

     

    But will they be poorer in the league race, the Scottish Cup and Europe than last year’s version. We lost 4 and drew 2 last year in Europe- getting 2 pts and finishing 4th. If, this year, we lose 5 and win one- are we a better European team? We’ve got more points but still probably in 4th place?

     

     

    What if we win 6 points with 2 wins or 5 points with 2 draws and a win and sneak a 3rd place spot? Would that make us a better team than the 22/23 vintage? I would guess a Euro continuation after Xmas trumps a LC win in the eyes of most fans.

     

     

    So, with all those possibilities ahead of us, why judge them obviously weaker at all? They have yet to demonstrate to us what they can do. You may be right in your assessment and you may be delighted to be proven wrong but why judge them this early? When my kids were 2 or 3 , I couldn’t know what they could be or where they could go. They hadn’t earned degrees by then or got good jobs or promoted at work, and I had no idea that they could all achieve this. It’s not a great analogy but……..

     

     

    back to football- what if BR accepted that we wouldn’t strengthen the Goalie dept; because the goalie he wanted was not going to be let go by his club and he preferred to not just buy any goalie, and wait till his guy was. able to be let go by his club? What if he judged that we could live with Joe Hart for another year rather than bring in another Siegrist-level, ten a penny keeper just for the sake of having new bling?

     

     

    I don’t know why we didn’t get a full back or striker but the reason could be similar. Who knows, maybe Mitchell Frame is good enough from the B team to be trusted, without going away on loan, to challenge for a first team slot and ease our Taylor/Bernabei worries. I doubt it but it’s always a possibility with Brendan.

     

     

    We don’t always get to plug all our gaps or address our need for improvement areas all at once. Sometimes you have to wait for better rather than buy a lesser target just cos he’s available and willing to come.

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