Marginal advantages eventually come a cropper

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One story which caught my eye last week was that we have 33 players out on international duty over this break, from a pool of 51 employed professionals (and that includes Derk Boerrigter). 13 Celtic players will join Scotland youth teams, with a further 6 going to other countries.

We know we can’t compete as we once did in the transfer market, so getting and developing the best youth talent has become an important part of the strategy.

All of this groundwork is for the long-term, though. Getting three points each Saturday and preparing for the challenges ahead is another question.

There was a moment on Saturday when Aberdeen manager, Derek McInnes, could have turned to his assistant and said, “If Killie hold on for another two minutes, the league is in our own hands”. That’s how close things got. Tom Rogic’s immaculate strike punctured that notion, before McInnes’ team’s second half collapse at Fir Park.

Now Aberdeen need us to drop seven points more than them, or eight if you consider goal difference. It’s not going to happen.  Aberdeen didn’t just slip up on Saturday due to a couple of defensive lapses, this result has been in the post for months.  They clawed their way into contention by gaining a series of marginal advantages – they haven’t won a game by more than a single goal since before Christmas – 14 games ago!

This season they have been ‘everyone’s favourite second team’ who have only just got over the line for three months of the season.  This is a statistical anomaly.  A more regular distribution of chances created and converted would have seen them win several of those games comfortably, but winning far fewer games.  Their dopplegangers in England, Leicester City, are benefiting from a similar phenomenon.  Both teams’ form could drop off a cliff next season, but the chances of either improving win ratios, if not performances, are slight.

Leicester are favourites to win in England because the behemoths, whose spending-power dwarfs most others, have been unable to dig deep to find a dirty win often enough.  Like Celtic’s on Saturday.  That, as we will soon declare, is why we’re champions!

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  1. Brogan Rogan Trevino and Hogan supports Oscar Knox, MacKenzie Furniss and anyone else who fights Neuroblastoma

     

     

    Res 12 mandate posted and e-mailed.

     

     

    Árd Macha

  2. TBJ has no trust in the PLC on

    BOBBY MURDOCH’S CURLED-UP WINKLEPICKERS on 22ND MARCH 2016 8:43 AM

     

    Ooooops,minor but amusing cock-up earlier from Mr Pastry where he refers to

     

    “economic illiterate SNP ‘sword of Damolces’ referendum threat”

     

     

    Bobby. … give the guy a brake .. . Nobody’s prefect ;)

  3. Sad, sad stuff over in Brussels, thoughts and prayers to the family’s of those lost souls, those liberal open borders in mainland Europe have worked for one set of people only, Isis, and I said it at the time it was done, meanwhile here in Scotland we don’t have that problem? Well you would think so anyway? As police Scotland are using all they’r manpower to go into Celtic and Sevco blogs to make sure that there will be no outbreak of banned songs sung at a Scottish cup semi final?

     

    Makes you feel real safe eh? Farking clowns.

  4. Sad sad news coming out of Brussels this morning/afternoon.

     

     

    Angela Merkel take a bow as you have almost single- handedly brought this reign of muslim terror to peace loving country’s all over Europe.

  5. AnneTearman@9:50 – and still no semblance of an answer – nothing to say except jibes and Sun-like slogans….ONE POLICY even a WEE one- tell you a secret, there isn’t one. You don’t even lose the argument, you ‘throw in the towel’ at ‘the drop of a hat’ – ’nuff said.

  6. BURGASHOOPS@11:07 – I don’t lay all the blame on Merkel, or indeed, the general Muslim population – however how long before some apologist is blaming Belgium’s foreign policy?

     

     

    These murderers need no reason to slaughter – it’s their raison d’etre – the civilized world will eventually ‘rub them out’ and no doubt be castigated for it.

  7. Mr Pastry,

     

     

    While you are waiting for An Tearmann’s reply, could you let us know details of any of the anti-union legislation that the last Labour government repealed?

  8. South Of Tunis on

    Off oot for an Easter break in Beirut and the Bekaa valley .

     

     

    Today’s murders in Brussels have sweet f a to do with open borders or Angela Merkel .. Murder committed by psychopathic ideologues . . Very likely to have born and bred locally/. local targets using locally sourced materials.

  9. BOBBY MURDOCH'S CURLED-UP WINKLEPICKERS on

    SOUTH OF TUNIS

     

     

    Enjoy yer break,mate.

     

     

    Incredible that Beiruit/Bekaa are considered safer than Brussels.

  10. Cultsbhoy

     

     

    Don’t agree that a boycott of the semi-final is an admission of their (Sevco’s) significance.

     

     

    It is more an acknowledgement of the significance of The Big Lie being allowed to take precedence over honesty, fairness and sporting integrity, thus rendering the game in Scotland a farce.

     

     

    Who wants to pay to watch a farce, especially as we know now we were paying for years to watch a ‘sport’ in which we were being cheated on a massive year-on -year scale?

     

     

    And then,when the bill for that cheating arrives in the form of liquidation, the SFA/SPFL refuse to acknowledge it, anticipating that the browbeaten will eventually accept the whole ‘let’s move on’ agenda, as they reluctantly (or not, in some cases) suspend their powers of disbelief to allow themselves to attend.

  11. The Honest Assesment

     

     

    These are just my opinions as were all entilted to them, and i dont know where your coming from with reading the BBC news.

     

     

    i view my local news stations which i’m sure you’ve NO idea about.

  12. Oh, and by the way, I was pointing out on here that Aberdeen were pushing their luck with all of the one-goal margin victories long before English or that Brennan guy!!

     

     

    And, lo and behold, the sheep bum has been duly bitten!

  13. I see Celtic’s great ally at Central Quay the notorious Daily Thug’s n Thieves have gone personal, on the Celtic manager.

     

     

    Hardly a surprise, at the height of it’s circulation peak in the pre digital age they decided to go for Fergus McCann and helped to do the great man some reputational harm, Martin O’Neill sued them for fun, but as we all know poor Ronny doesn’t stand a chance.

     

     

    Not sure quite where we are, but do know, we make money from the Daily Record a two way street and surely just another example of how corporate Celtic say nada to protect the business pennies at any cost .

  14. I see a lot of dafties going on about open borders

     

     

    1. We don’t yet know the identity of those involved

     

     

    2. Chances are, they will be Belgian Citizens (much like the Paris attacks)

     

     

    Terror in Europe comes from home grown terrorism. Talking about borders is a waste of time. Maybe we should consider why young muslim men carry out these attacks and try to prevent it?

  15. WEEMINGER on 22ND MARCH 2016 12:06 PM

     

    Burgas Hoops on 22nd March 2016 11:54 am

     

     

    Where are you based?

     

     

     

    Would it surprise you if i said BURGAS mate -)))

  16. CultsBhoy can not relate to Celtic Board ambitions on or off the park on

    Beatbhoy

     

     

    I can see your point but I bet you will still like beating the tribute act more than any other team…I’m the same which is why i feel conflicted over it all.

     

     

    They are not the same club they were LIQUIDATED. yet they look the same, they smell the same they have the same follow followers..they hate us as much as the old mob. Hence I feel the same way towards them. I want to gub them so badly..just like I did with their predecessors..

  17. Burgas Hoops on 22nd March 2016 12:17 pm

     

     

    I thought you’d move but not changed your name but now I think about it, I think that was some bhoy who’d been in Kazakhstan or somewhere equally barren.

     

     

    Would you say Bulgaria’s membership of the EU has made it easier for you to settle there?

  18. BRTH,

     

     

    Mandate signed and sent.

     

     

    I have NEVER hid my identity when corresponding with Broadfoot and Regan.

     

     

    In fact, Broadfoot made a veiled threat to contact my employers when I used a works computer (like now, during Lunch break – which is allowed) to ‘converse’ with him.

     

    He couldn’t answer my polite questions, so reverted to type.

  19. Looking forward to some of our esteemed posters big the bones out of The Rangers latest accounts.

     

     

    £29,000, 000 in debt inside 4 years of existence, should be fun, outwith spin city.

  20. weebobbycollins on

    BSR @ 12.07…you are correct, Corporate Celtic is a business first and foremost. The fact that members of the board are Celtic fans (soft) is neither here nor there. They are in employed to make profit for (major) shareholders. It’s all about income streams. I was at the press conference when Bankier was introduced as the new chairman, he struck me as someone who was far removed from what I considered a Celtic man. As he had no historical Celtic anecdotes to relate, he simply told everyone present that he was a St Aloysius boy…Bad start!

  21. weeminger

     

     

    Would you say Bulgaria’s membership of the EU has made it easier for you to settle there?

     

     

     

    i’ve been here before EU membership mate.

  22. Burgas Hoops on 22nd March 2016 12:29 pm

     

     

    Fair play. I’m not goading. I’m genuinely interested on the views of the likes of yourself , TET and SoT who live in mainland Europe.

  23. Close the borders?

     

     

    I remember people proposing this during the IRA’s bombing campaign of mainland Britain in the 1980-90s.

  24. —-

     

     

    My Dear Burgas Hoops..

     

     

     

    A Word to the Wise….

     

     

     

    One gets more reliable coverage of what’s going on in UK….

     

     

    By watching the Russia Today News Channel / RT(UK),which is on Sky Channel 512…

     

     

    Rather than the increasingly shrill and propagandised BBC and Sky New….

     

     

    Which are now beyond Pravda in the Soviet era,and much more akin to the current North Korean News outlets…

     

     

    A Shocking State of Affairs…

     

     

    Breitbart News London is also a useful source….

     

     

    As a fairly new alternative to Reuters and AP,with the Indefatigable Raheem Khassam as Editor-In-Chief…

     

     

    When he takes a break from dismantling ‘shouty’ pundits on Sky News and Andrew Neil’s ” Daily Politics Show” on BBC2 (He was also Nigel Farage’s Chief Advisor at the last General Election)

     

     

     

    http://www.breitbart.com/london/

     

     

    ——-

     

     

    So, Ol’ Sofa Tunis is travelling to the beautiful and fertile Bekkaa Valley in Eastern Lebanon….

     

     

    The area was a Christian Lebanese refuge and stronghold for many centuries….

     

     

    Until the Lebanese ‘Civil War’ in the 1980s…

     

     

    Orchestrated by hostile ‘foreign’ influences….

     

     

    As a result,many of the Christian communities were ‘ethnically cleansed’ from their ancient lands….

     

     

    Much like their brethren in Iraq and Syria in more recent times…

     

     

    Smells-Like-Sofa-Stockholm-Syndrome CSC ;-)

     

     

    Up the Hoops & KevJ….!

     

     

     

    Off Oot….

     

     

    ——-

  25. DHARMABAM@11:24 – Trades Union Law had been unchanged since 1906 and needed to be modernised in 1992.

     

     

    In the 1960/70/80s industrial action could be instigated sometimes with only 20% voting – these kind of strikes all but destroyed the car industry and others in the UK – Rootes at Linwood was a prime example.

     

     

    Let me assure you that British Trades Union law meets the European Council on Human Rights (article 11)

     

     

    There was no need for a Labour Government to repeal anything – in fact the vast majority of union members have been polled time and again and there is no appetite to go back to the old ways and political strikes.

     

     

    Recently, doctors, teachers and lecturers have demonstrated the right to strike is alive and well.

     

     

    Just like the NHS, it was Labour who enshrined workers’ rights in law – so please no lectures from SNP, who have NEVER suggested or passed a measure specific to the working class/poorest in their PUFF.

  26. weeminger

     

    Never thought you wee goading me for a minute.

     

     

    Loads of changes here since EU membership, i think it’s far easier to purchase homes now as you dont need to form a LTD company before you can purchase.

     

     

    Trying to change from a communist country takes a lot of time mate, still a long way to go -))))

  27. WEEMINGER

     

     

    SOT lives……….on an island.

     

     

    But I know what you meant!

     

     

    :-)

  28. Philbhoy on 22nd March 2016 12:42 pm

     

     

    Why I oughtta!

     

     

    Actually as a king pedant that’s a great point. Well made Sir!

  29. The Donald

     

     

    DD

     

    Wee mammy just got out of the hospital

     

     

    Sorry for any confusion with my post for prayers and candle lit

     

    For DDs Wee mammy

     

     

    Mt

     

     

    Yah

  30. thomthethim for Oscar OK on

    Cults,

     

     

    The anger is not directed at Sevco. Once they were admitted to Div.3, their ultimate presence in the Prem League was assured.

     

     

    It is the SFA who are the over all villains of the piece and it is to them that the protests should be aimed at.

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