I have no intention of encouraging anyone to place a bet, but if you think Celtic will be crowned champions in five weeks’ time, you can make a 40% return on your money. Bookies do not give a 40% return on capital within five weeks often, so what’s going on?
The confidence you feel after Sunday is based on some cognitive biases. We have bossed Newco for 2.5 out of 3 games this season and there is an expectation that this trend will continue.
Also, five of Newco’s remaining seven games are away from home, whereas we have only two away games left. On average, more points are dropped away than at home, so there’s encouragement there too.
Add in your knowledge that the Celtic squad are getting fitter and better; Callum McGregor and Reo Hatate are back, Cameron Carter-Vickers is playing, and we look as good as we have all season, and you can see the plan coming together. So what gives with the bookies?
Bookies love trends. They know two facts about them: punters back them to continue and they always end. Lots happened on Sunday, but we should focus on the fact that at halftime, Newco ended a 2.5 game trend and started to cause Celtic problems.
Clement’s joy at a home draw was based on his belief that he – like you and me – knows what to expect from Celtic, and he will travel to Celtic Park with a plan he has confidence in.
Celtic are not the only side with players coming back from injury. Sima will be fully fit the next time these teams meet; Yilmaz will return to the left back slot and Matondo will be asked to continue how he ended on Sunday.
This will allow Newco to play to their strengths as a counter-attacking side, as they did successfully away to Betis and Benfica. If you can take a win and a draw from those games, you are entitled to be confident at Celtic Park.
Brendan Rodgers needs a plan, for that plan. He will be preparing for it already, but you cannot just decide how a game will progress; chance, form and (of course) rogue decisions can derail the best of us. We have a lot to do to win that game.
This leaves us looking at the away fixtures. Celtic will visit Kilmarnock, where we have lost twice this season, compounded by a home draw. Difficult though this game will be, I expect a win. We are also likely to go to Paisley, scene of two comfortable wins this season.
Newco lost at Celtic Park in December, drew at Pittodrie a month earlier and lost the opening game of the season at Kilmarnock. As well as their best European performances being away from home, they have a better domestic record away than at home.
These sentiments are why the bookies don’t particularly fancy our chances. There remains a lot to do.
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If I was Aberdeen’s chairman I would insist the game is replayed, the economic consequences are severe for them if result stands.
Greengray67,
Thanks for sharing..I’m just shy of 50 myself and think that 6 monthly blood test is a great idea.
And don’t be a stranger on here 👍
You have to read FF.Brilliant meltdown.
Drysdale from Dundee.Scum have pictures of him in SNP outfit,AND,further outrage.He is one of the guys who voted on their transfer embargo.Was at Raith at that time,alongside their blessed Chairman.Himself,wife and family threatened by scum at the time.Police protection.
Heading for 100 pages of,integrity,standards,and doing the right thing.
Taken over from old blog👇
RON BACARDI JNR on 10TH APRIL 2024 5:14 PM
Hello Bhoys, This is Brian McGinley’s son, Matt (AKA Ron Bacardi Jnr). Myself and my brother Adam, and my mum Linda (Mrs Bacardi), would like to say a massive thank you for all the lovely comments and condolences we have received on here – it’s been amazing. And great to know how well thought of Dad was – he loved being part of the forum. We are really grateful that some if you are considering a donation – thanks you. Here is a link to Dad’s funeral notice, which includes a link to Prostate Cancer UK, who we are collecting donations for. https://www.dignityfunerals.co.uk/funeral-notices/25-03-2024-brian-james-mcginley/
RON BACARDI JNR on 10TH APRIL 2024 5:20 PM
And to put all your curious minds at ease, the name “Ron Bacardi” was indeed from vintage Bacardi bottles, which was a favourite tipple when he was too young to legally drink! He was more of a cider and Red Wine fan later in life. He used the monicker all his life he said, using it in bookies when also underage for gambling and on other things too.
AN TEARMANN on 10TH APRIL 2024 7:15 PM
Wee update Cqn.
I spoke to florist in Carlisle and a wreath will be at Brians funeral directors for 9am on friday morning.
The message will be:-
“for our late friend and good Celtic man Brian McGinley-deepest sympathy from all at CQN-Celtic Quick News”
The wreath will look like this tho i did ask for more green white and gold :-) 👇
https://twitter.com/antearmann1967/status/1778123877865906333?s=19
The monies over and above this amount will be sent to the link posted above by Matt (Ron Bacardi jnr)
Thank you to Marc Rollercoaster for his help
Hail Hail
Brian McGinley – Ron Bacardi Rip 🙏
What have I missed re. the sheep?
and
Graeme Souness getting involved again!
Graeme Souness has asked SFA to take action against Dermot Desmond .
Souness has expressed his concern that Desmond being a practicing catholic has been in contact with god to ensure that continuing rain causes as much inconvenience to ra teddies as possible.
Dermot Desmond is yet to respond but felt it unwise to mention a convenience to Huns …. Slurp !!
Sorry, just found the article on the Shortie website.
Nah, doesn’t do it for me. Huns in charge of the best technology will always be huns.
New technology and independent adjudicators are the only way forward.
looking like there is going to be severe weather disruption for the first day of the masters tomorrow.
dundee should be severely punished if that happens
Us running out of steam in second halves – is that our injury crisis or a hangover from angeball?
https://twitter.com/AberdeenFC/status/1778084142967623741?s=19
Aberdeen on Var
Sfa reply
https://x.com/ScottishFA/status/1778120778405330954?s=08
HH
BonkersCsc
RB Junior – thank you.
got a 404 on the funeral link – will try An T’s wreath link
Good too see two teams we’ve played in the later stages of the European games ….
Jackiemac
ATs link working
RBs son Matt and of course Adam and the rest of the family.
I only met your dad once and he was a true Gent and Celt.
I hope you all can take great solace that he was much liked by an awful lot of bhoys on here.
I don’t need to tell you he will be sadly missed on here and in the shipbank which he attended once and did Hope to again but alas it was not to be.
He was and always will be an honorary member of our Shipbank Shipwrecks. Cheers to Brian 🍻
May God look after you all at this sad time.
Regards
David66
An Termann – you sir are a true Gent to. Thanks
CRC if you are lurking, a big thanks to you to.
D. 🙏 :)
Hibs complain to SPFL over Dundee ‘sporting advantage’ from Rangers rescheduling
The Dee will now play their final match before the split after the Hibees amid their fight for top six
https://www.footballscotland.co.uk/spfl/scottish-premiership/hibs-complain-spfl-over-dundee-28973723
RON BACARDI JNR on 10TH APRIL 2024 5:20 PM
Thanks for that. A fine post which shows that Ron Senior`s fine nature lives on in Ron Junior..
anyone know the rangers score?
An Tearmann,
Thanks for sharing the Ron Bacardi family response – I must say that during the appropriate and kind reflections on CQN, I wondered if his family will ever know. Shout out to Big Jimmy for his eulogy that focused on their recent meeting in the Shipbank and showed how even brief exchanges can prevail.
It was heart warming to see the family response and I’m sure it will help them at this time – I will make a donation to the link above.
SAINT STIVS on 10TH APRIL 2024 8:21 PM
Things get badder and badder !
The SPFL are looking out of their depth.
A win for Buckie Thistle in tonight`s game —their second of three in 5 and a half days — will put them level at the top with Brechin.
Come on Buckie !!
50 years ago tonight,Celtic v Atletico Madrid game.60p for ticket, Stood east terracing.
● AM goalkeeper that night had a son that played in a champions league final in 2007.Who is that player?
When Rangers visited Dens Park earlier in the season, they arrived late, causing the kick-off to be delayed.
Then when they eventually did kick-off, the huns let off flares which generated a lot of smoke that was blown across the pitch, resulting in the referee sending both teams back to the dressing rooms and the match was further delayed.
Hypocrites with short memories.
Tom that is a really fair point.
BURNLEY78
Did you make it to Kitty’s on Sunday?
Rangers have accused Dundee of “negligence and unprofessionalism” after their Scottish Premiership match was postponed for a second time because of a waterlogged pitch.
Outrageous case of ‘pot calling the kettle black’ – this is a row over rain-soaked ground. Failing to protect a visiting team and its management and staff at Ibrox from grievous bodily harm is grossly negligent and unprofessional . Imagine if it had been a UEFA game – stands would be shut and next match at a neutral venue, at least one hundred miles away.
Bhoys eyes on the prize.
3 points on Saturday is all that matters just now.
Pile the pressure on.
Anything else is a distraction.
COYBIG
D. :)
Thinking on statement’o’clock over Var and the technology used in drawing lines i came across this reflection after Jota ‘scored’ at Motherwell last season from Gordon Duncan
https://twitter.com/Zeshankenzo/status/1778122349042139267?s=19.
Line drawin and making it up
HH
Huns raging as they sold out the Deep End
once again
!!BADA BING!! on 10TH APRIL 2024 9:08 PM
Huns raging as they sold out the Deep end .
🤣🤣🤣👏👏
SPFL decision is ……….
Penalty to Ranjurrz and a 9.5 to Silva for a triple somersault in the pike position .
Commenting on his wasted journey to Dundee the head of the Portuguese diving team expressed his disappointment at not being able to see Silva in action – we think he has a great chance in Paris he added.
Tom Mc
Yes I was there. I could find the wee room you said and ended up in the main area. It was bouncing of course. It gets busier and busier as a place to watch the hoops.
Good evening all from the Shamrock Bar, Falcarragh. I am rather inebriated. My default position actually.
Oh dear.
What a shame.
Game cancelled.
The Sly Sports Sponsored unchallenged procession to the title not quite going to plan.