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Time to postpone Euros and prepare for domestic consequences

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The next two rounds of games in La Liga have been suspended as the effects of the coronavirus grow in Spain.  Seven Bundesliga games will take place behind closed doors this weekend, as will all games in Ligue 1, while pretty much everything in Italy is shutdown.

This leaves England the only one of the big five leagues going ahead in front of full stadiums.  Infection rates in Italy, France, Spain and Germany are significantly higher than the UK, but it seems inevitable that public attendance at sporting events in the UK will be stopped within days.

As more players become infected, it will be impossible, and hazardous to players, to continue with football matches.  Uefa must accept that the Euros should be postponed, you cannot have tens of thousands travelling across the continent, then home again.  This competition is a crucial earner for Uefa and national associations; it will be a commercial washout if held this year.  Better on all counts to re-schedule for 2021.

Domestic competitions, as well as the Champions and Europa Leagues, should be allowed to run into June – all behind closed doors.

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  1. macjay1 for Neil Lennon on

    THE BATTERED BUNNET on 12TH MARCH 2020 6:41 PM

     

     

    Very thoughtful contribution.

     

    Containment phase .

     

    Postponing while we hope ( and pray ) for a vaccine .

  2. TBB. Very interesting post, I would have thought that General Health Policy would have been trying to keep the virus at bay until an effective vaccination was available. Obviously Governments are trying to avoid massive spikes in new cases as the Health system just couldn’t cope.So there plans are geared for a continuous steady stream of new cases .

     

    The reality certainly in Ireland is that the majority of people will have to survive & recover in self isolation in their own homes whilst the Hospitals will be reserved for the critical & most vulnerable cases.

  3. I am not convinced that Nicola Sturgeon has any power to cancel any event far less one, or two, involving 50,000. Correct me if I am wrong but is not licensing a role for local authorities, such as GCC, Edinburgh etc. For instance, the Scottish government legislated for Parades etc but it is the local authority that in effect oversees them albeit with powers already limited by Edinburgh. Barring involvement from the Council, or the Police, I’m guessing that the events remain under the control of the organisers, you know, SFA, UEFA, R&A, Orange Lodge etc

  4. Don’t know how things are feeling up there guys but down here in the north east of england I have nothing but anxiety for my three children,my elderly mother and all of our bleak prospects.

     

    Suddenly the derby match on sunday means nothing……absolutely nothing.

     

     

    Stay safe everyone…we are all in for the most difficult times of our lives.

  5. Lazydynamite – Stay safe fella, in God we trust.

     

    Try to concentrate on other things, thinking about this virus would drive you crazy.

     

     

    D. :)

  6. For all those people alleging paranoia re the timing of the ban on large gatherings please remind me what constituency the First Minister represents and whether there any “national institutions” operating there who may be in dire financial straits?

     

     

    Notparanoidenough.csc

  7. Lazy Dynamite, You can’t allow yourself to get fixated like that.

     

    I’m not trying to be flippant but all any us us can do is to follow advice & do our best to improve our chances of avoiding it.

     

    But beyond that life goes on & the more things that take our minds off it the better.

     

    So for me the Derby match means a lot, a whole bloody lot.

  8. DAVID66 on 12TH MARCH 2020 7:19 PM

     

     

    Cheers dave…you too pal.

     

     

    The thought of the horrors currently playing out in Italian hospitals coming our way very soon is very hard to get out of my mind.

     

    Not impressed with the prime ministers whole performance today to be honest.

     

    Not even getting the chance to ride this thing out at home in isolation.

     

    self employed with school age children means daily routine has to stay the same.

     

    From what I have been informed for weeks now is that genuine social isolation of the strictist form is the ONLY way to avoid this until you either get a vacccine [2021 at earliest] or enough people get it and recover as to create enough antibodies /herd emmunity.

     

     

    The countries to show reasonably promising signs so far who have been at this since january like South Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong ….SHUT DOWN[everything]..STAY IN..[test alot]

  9. glendalystonsils on

    CELTIC MAC on 12TH MARCH 2020 7:12 PM

     

     

    Council , Police , SFA , R&A , Orange Lodge ?

     

     

    You don’t half repeat yourself ! -))

  10. !!Bada Bing!! on

    The banned BBC still clawing themselves to cover their heroes with commentary from the TV feed on Shortbread

  11. CORKCELT on 12TH MARCH 2020 7:23 PM

     

     

    I know mate I just cant help it.

     

    Seems so futile to me at this moment.

     

    Maybe I will perk up before the weekend.

     

     

    Just feel that our world needs a wee miracle right now to save a lot of suffering and pain.

     

    In my life I have never seen anything like it it.

     

    Almost nowhere untouched .

     

    Perhaps we are getting a feeling of the worry,anxiety and sheer hell our grandparents and great grandparents went through in the world wars.

     

    The financial implications for the world economy are also looking unpresidented at this early stage.

     

     

    So no…a game of football does not really cut it for me at this moment.

  12. I dunno if it’s the Coronavirus or the 13 point gap or the fact the Huns are dead and this is just another fixture these days but I haven’t thought much about the game this week either tbh

  13. The scoddish fitba landscape will shift following the weekend…………dependent on a Timmed-up triumph.

     

    The mouth-breathers will smell an opportunity to kill time, kill the second nine and buy space for some sort of hunned-up rekovery.

     

     

    Look out for the “guid o’ scoddish fitba” guff raising its ugly heid again.

  14. The Battered Bunnet on 12th March 2020 6:41 pm

     

     

     

    The concern is that the growth rate may be higher than you suggest. The key seems to be when we hit the inflexion point. I don’t know how you predict that (if you can). What seems clear though is that small changes early on can severely curtail the rate of growth. That’s why I can’t understand the hesitant approach by Governments.

     

     

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kas0tIxDvrg

     

     

     

    This article covers similar ground to your post in a US context. It’s not at all reassuring.

     

     

    https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/10/simple-math-alarming-answers-covid-19/

     

     

    Worst case scenario is that the health service collapses completely. Then it’s not just those who have the virus who are at risk, but everyone in need of medical treatment.

     

     

    And for those mentioning a vaccine, that’s not going to be available until the virus has got to the stage that we have developed herd immunity, so it will be of little benefit in this outbreak but may be useful for further outbreaks if they occur.

  15. The Battered Bunnet on

    PetetheBeat

     

     

    Good point about ambient temperatures. From what I can gather, the virus can’t survive in the open at about 27C. So yes, as the temperature increases, the virus will die back.

     

     

    Problem with that is that this is a global problem, and while it may be 30C in Seville, it won’t be forever, and when the temperature drops the virus will return because it moves with people and people move. In those countries they’re looking at a dip in the summer followed by a rise again as the weather changes.

     

     

    If there are any virologists/immunologists/public health folks looking in, I’d be really pleased if you would consider the Ro/Threshold ratio in my earlier post.

     

     

    My reading indicates that a R0 of 2.3 equate with a threshold of 60%. Is that reliable?

     

     

    Cheers,

     

     

    TBB

  16. The Battered Bunnet on

    Thanks Ernie, I’ll read that in a mo.

     

     

    On one level, it makes sense to get infected with the virus now in the UK while there is capacity to treat those who need it. What seems clear is that we will all come into contact with it over the coming weeks and months, and a chunk of folk will become very ill.

     

     

    The inflection point is the capacity to treat those who have severe illness. I’d rather be severely ill this week than next, and this month than next. On that view, managing infections to a higher level in the short term while the rate is below the capacity to treat might* be quite sensible.

     

     

    If you want to flatten the curve, you need to raise it at both the front end and the back end. Or at least that’s what I gather.

     

     

    I expect we’ll see public measures implemented one week ahead of the next step change in infections. The closer we get to capacity to treat, the more severe the measures. At the moment, we have beds and staff so go out there and get infected. It seems mad, but simultaneously it seems logical.

     

     

    Who knows.

  17. FAVOURITE UNCLE on

    HUN commentator “huns playing counter attacking type of game”as they cross the halfway line for first time after 14 min.

  18. Sevco’s pitch looks better than it did against Braga.

     

     

    I was expecting it to look like 1970’s QPR or Derby County i.e 90% sand.

  19. prestonpans bhoys on

    Should take Der Hun 30 minutes to work out the Huns are shite, atmosphere like a noise from the sheep paper razzling

  20. Is the game at Ibrox supposed to be a competitive fixture? I guess it must be…. on a par with Kasparov vs Spassky.

  21. FAVOURITE UNCLE on

    DUSHANBE BHILLY BHOY on 12TH MARCH 2020 8:23 PM

     

     

    Will stick with stickys to enjoy the pain.

  22. Leverkusen playing them off the pitch, pressing high and in complete control. They aren’t getting much into the box and a lot of their play is in front of a deep lying Sevco team but they’re in control.

  23. TBH, I think those sort of awards are daft.

     

     

    No way, the Sevco deender intended it and there wasn’t much of a goalscoring chance on.

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